NFL Week 4 Preview: Zach Wilson's Value in Chiefs Vs. Jets

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00:00 (upbeat music)

00:02 - The low total, one Donnie,

00:04 that I know you've been really interested in,

00:06 trying to get a read on,

00:08 do you trust Zach Wilson enough

00:10 to get you over this number?

00:11 So I'm gonna go to you first here.

00:13 - Yeah.

00:13 - Where have you landed on that?

00:14 Although to be honest, at the open,

00:16 it sounds like you maybe haven't decided yet

00:17 where you land on this total

00:19 between the Chiefs and the Jets.

00:20 - Look, here's where I decided.

00:21 If they go over 16 and a half,

00:23 I'm tweeting out like, "I knew they would do that."

00:25 (laughing)

00:25 And when they don't, I'm gonna say,

00:26 "I didn't actually bet the game."

00:27 - Seriously.

00:28 - 'Cause I'm not going to bet it, exactly.

00:29 - And we start with Zach Wilson.

00:30 His prop bet, and can we just be honest,

00:32 173 and a half in a Kansas City Chiefs game,

00:35 which we're all expecting,

00:35 or should I say most people expecting,

00:37 Kansas City probably gonna go bell to bell tonight,

00:39 which means you have to throw the football.

00:41 But here's the issue,

00:42 133.7 yards per game the Jets are passing for.

00:47 - That's terrible.

00:48 - Which is well below the number we're looking at at 173.

00:50 But as the game dictates,

00:51 and I wanna start with you here, Joe,

00:53 where is the value coming in on Zach Wilson?

00:55 Because for me, I look at that number,

00:56 it says he has to hit that.

00:58 Just by game flow,

00:59 he should throw the ball 40 plus times tonight.

01:02 If you're, put it this way,

01:03 if the Jets are thinking about going into this game,

01:04 let's just run the football with Brees Hall

01:06 and also Dalvin Cook, and we'll win, no shot.

01:08 - No, no shot.

01:09 I mean, absolutely none,

01:11 and somebody that was on the Zach Wilson total last week,

01:13 that was a killer.

01:15 But he throws for 157 yards in the absolute rain, right?

01:18 So you would have to think that potentially,

01:20 he did, he threw for 157

01:23 in terms of the second half of that ballgame,

01:25 pull it out in terms of the final drive.

01:27 Every throw was short to intermediate.

01:29 He didn't get the ball to Garrett Wilson

01:31 in the second half against the Patriots.

01:33 He's gonna have to do it today.

01:35 There's two ways to look at it.

01:36 It's a contrast in styles.

01:37 Do you wanna get into a lower scoring game

01:40 and obviously sustain drives,

01:42 neutralize the Kansas City offense,

01:44 keep Pat Mahomes on the sidelines,

01:46 just the way they did last week

01:48 in terms of the New England game plan

01:50 against the New York Jets?

01:52 Do you utilize Dalvin Cook?

01:53 Do you utilize Brees Hall and say, you know what?

01:55 We'll wait 'til the fourth quarter

01:57 and we'll potentially try to open it up then and steal it.

02:00 Or to Donnie's point, do you open it up and say,

02:03 we'll throw caution to the wind and we'll see what happens.

02:06 And if we have 10 or 15 points in the end,

02:09 maybe we move on for Zach Wilson

02:12 because they're gonna have to score at least 17 to 20

02:15 to pull this ballgame out and cover it.

02:17 I just don't see it happening.

02:19 I will say, I do like the over today though at 42 and a half.

02:23 (upbeat music)

02:25 (bells chiming)

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