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In Tasmania, the battle for political power has shifted from the ballot box to the backroom. Premier Jeremy Rockliff has given a draft 'stability' agreement to independent members of parliament, seeking support for a minority liberal government. Labor-turned-independent MP David O’Byrne says he hasn't decided which party he will side with.

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00:00We still have to wait for the final seats to be decided.
00:05There's still some postal votes to be counted
00:07and under the Hare Clerk system,
00:09the preferences will start to flow at the end of next week
00:11and we'll find out the make-up of the Parliament.
00:14I've been in discussions with both the Labor leader
00:17and the Liberal leader about how they propose to move forward
00:22and gain the support of the House.
00:24And in those discussions, it really does,
00:26in terms of my perspective and my view,
00:28it really does, in the first instance,
00:31it needs to be proven that they're able to not only win the first vote
00:34of confidence on the floor and be commissioned,
00:37but they're able to have systems in place
00:40that will sustain a Parliament into the long term
00:43and that's a complicated process.
00:46And whilst I'm very respectful of the people that voted for me
00:49as an independent, I don't get to ride veto.
00:52I will have a say and I need to respect that we need to form a Parliament
00:57and both the major parties and also the Green Party,
01:00they managed to garner close to 75% of the vote.
01:04We need to respect that and we need to get on with it.
01:05So those discussions are continuing and it's a complex process.
01:10Yeah, I'm sure it is.
01:11David, do you feel like you're being wooed?
01:13I mean, I know you hadn't spoken to Dean Winter in quite a long time.
01:17You say you have respect for Jeremy Rockliffe as leader.
01:20Does it feel like you're being wooed?
01:22Well, I suppose I've been in this spot before
01:25and I've been around politics and Parliament for some time now
01:30and if this is wooing, it's not working.
01:36It's more of a case of sitting down and working out.
01:38I'm not trading policies.
01:40I'm not going to...
01:41And I think it's important that people talk about the structure
01:44of Parliament and the process as opposed to my, you know,
01:47bucket list of items that I want resolved.
01:50Twelve months ago, when I was elected to the crossbench
01:54and played a role in allowing government to form,
01:57it wasn't about trading off issues.
02:00It wasn't about anything apart from,
02:02if you treat me well, you know my values.
02:04It's confidence and supply.
02:06I'll deal with each piece of legislation,
02:09each issue on its merits.
02:11I removed my confidence for the former Treasurer
02:14and Infrastructure Minister, Michael Ferguson,
02:16on the basis that he'd lost my confidence
02:18and Parliament was still able to continue
02:20and government was able to form.
02:22So, they're good discussions.
02:23They're open.
02:25It's very difficult when one party doesn't have the numbers
02:29in of itself to form a government
02:33without the need of the crossbench
02:35and so they need to convince me and other people
02:37that they're able to do it for the long term.
02:39Yeah, I mean, it's admirable to keep an open mind.
02:43David, one final thought.
02:44You mentioned how well the Greens had done,
02:46but the ALP got its lowest ever vote.
02:48What do you put that down to?
02:50Well, it is...
02:51It was a very terrible, awful result for Labor.
02:54The lowest result, 25% of the primary vote.
02:57I remember a time when there was discussions
03:00about how bad it was when we went below 40%
03:02for the primary vote.
03:04I think others will form their judgment,
03:07but at the end of the day,
03:09clearly the Labor Party, with that result,
03:12had not convinced people that they were ready to govern
03:14and that they had an agenda that they could vote for.
03:19Arguably, the Liberal Party,
03:21whilst they have a higher vote,
03:23there was a question mark about them as well.
03:25So, the Green vote was basically the same
03:27and so there's a number of independents
03:30on the crossbench now
03:31and we need to respect the will of the people
03:33and try and make this parliament work
03:35and allow a government to form,
03:38but it has to be sustainable.
03:40I was a member of a...
03:42..in a 25-seat house over a decade ago
03:45and a member of the Labor Party
03:47when we had 10 members
03:48and 10 members in a 25-seat house was difficult.
03:5210 members in a 35-seat house is going to be very difficult.
03:55So, I'm going to need to be convinced
03:56that they're able to build a sustainable government
03:59off those numbers.

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