Chase Burns vs. Zack Wheeler: Pitching Matchup Analysis

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00:00Take a look at a 135 start. 951, 952 on the rotation. Chase Burns on the mound.

00:05A decent first couple innings, and after that, it's been all bad for my guy Burns on the mound.

00:10He'll take on the Phillies today. Wheeler opposite on the other side.

00:12Another heavy favorite, Tom. Open up around that minus 225 price overnight.

00:16Still sitting around that range with a high of minus 246.

00:19A total which opened up at 8.5. Still sits 8.5. Great hitting conditions in Philadelphia.

00:23A power pitcher in Burns on the mound who has struggled through his two starts.

00:27Going up against one of the best pitchers in baseball, Zach Wheeler, today.

00:30Yeah, Wheeler's having arguably one of his best seasons on the mound.

00:3432.9% strikeout rate for him, and when we look at the Reds lineup over the last 30 days versus righties,

00:39Connor Joe, 41% strikeout rate. Stevenson, 35. Will Benson, 27. Hayes, 25. Fraley, 24.

00:46Gavin Lux, 21. Spencer Sear, 21. The prop is 8.5 for Wheeler, as it should be for his strikeouts.

00:51There is juice on the under, but man, him getting to 7 or 8, going 6 innings, 7 innings,

00:55only giving up one or two run runs despite the hitting weather, I think is a real spot.

00:58This is why I think this match was so interesting, as I was alluding to before.

01:02Chase Burns, as you said, was absolutely electric in his first start versus the Yankees,

01:05but it was horrible in his next start. Which version of him are we going to see?

01:09Because when we look at the Phillies lineup over the last 30 days, strikeouts versus righties,

01:14there are 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 hitters that are at 22% or higher.

01:18So this could be the pendulum swinging both ways. He either has 6 strikeouts or he has 2

01:23when he gives up 5 run runs. I would rather side with Wheeler in this matchup, no surprise,

01:28and not the Phillies bats. I'm banking on Wheeler coming through, not the Phillies bats.