Phillies vs. Brewers: Nola Faces Peralta in a Tight Matchup

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00:00Two of the power threats here in majors, the Phillies squaring off against the Brewers.

00:08They're one a piece for this series, Donnie.

00:10We get Aaron Nola out there for Philadelphia this afternoon, squaring off against Freddy

00:14Peralta.

00:15Both been very impressive going through the season here, so no surprises.

00:19The odds makers have this title set at a measly seven and a half in a pick-up.

00:23Ah, do we trust our eyes or do we trust the analytical numbers here, Dubsy?

00:28The reason I bring that up is Freddy Peralta is raiding those crosshairs.

00:31If we're looking at those 27 pitchers that I have raided here, he's 26th out of 27th,

00:37which is not a good sign.

00:38But if we are looking at those past 60 innings that he's pitched over the past 60 days, he's

00:42got a 3.13 ERA, which is really good in Major League Baseball.

00:46But that XFIP number is close to five, which means he's getting a little bit lucky here.

00:50Not enough strikeouts, too many fly balls.

00:52You get the picture here.

00:53But also, if we're taking a look at Freddy Peralta's last 30 days against right-handed

00:58It hasn't been great here.

00:59A .325 ISO against and a weighted-on-base percentage of .428.

01:03So if you're looking for some right-handed batters to step up to the plate and hammer

01:05away, JT Ramuto probably will be on that card.

01:08His last 51 at-bats he's had against right-handed pitching.

01:11He's got a nice .360 ISO and a weighted-on-base percentage of .485.

01:16The one guy that's not a right-handed batter but does have some crazy numbers is Kyle Schwerber.

01:20A .353 ISO and a weighted-on-base percentage of .396 over his last 78 at-bats against right-handed

01:26pitching.

01:27There are some question marks from a Philadelphia Phillies side here, Dubsy.

01:30Aaron Nola does have some pretty solid statistics over the past 60 days.

01:34He's 12th on the card today, an XFIP of 4.01.

01:37That's manageable.

01:38He did get damaged in his last start, and there's a couple of hitters in the middle

01:41of that lineup.

01:42Churio, Contreras, Mitchell, and Adamas, who have very good statistics over the past month

01:46against right-handed pitching.

01:47But for me, I think Nola can outlast Peralta.

01:50The Phillies picked up the victory yesterday.

01:52A series win today would go a long way in holding off the Los Angeles Dodgers, and quite

01:56frankly, the Milwaukee Brewers, putting an end to them trying to fight up to that number

02:00two or number one spot here.

02:02I'll take the Philadelphia Phillies.

02:03The eight is a tough number.

02:05I'd be more likely in a playoff atmosphere, Dubsy, to probably go under, saying, we don't

02:08see nine runs.

02:10But I do think there is some RBI opportunities, and I think the Phillies were able to pull

02:13out a victory against Freddy Peralta.

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