Phillies vs. Nationals: Betting Odds & Player Insights

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00:00here. We're going to start with the Philadelphia Phillies and the Washington

00:02Nationals rotation number 9 51 9 52 1 35 start here. That's the Philadelphia

00:07Phillies and again in the Nationals starting pitching matchup today. Nola

00:11versus the lefty Parker. If we take a look at the odds and I just use maybe a

00:15baseline here for me throughout the spring of the summer as Fandul some

00:18opening numbers and see where some of the other books are coming in. Fandul

00:21would open this line here to minus 1 58 price towards the Phillies as a

00:24favorite of plus 1 34 dog for the Washington Nationals. The total once

00:28again in 8.5 as we look to Fandul that line is dropped that minus 1 58 is now

00:32down to 1 42 and across the board once again make sure you're shopping to get

00:36the best prices. 1 42s are out there as well as 1 50s plus money numbers of

00:41plus 1 25 down to plus 1 20. So if you're betting favorites or dogs, make

00:44sure you're hitting that appropriately here. Nola and Parker, I'll start with

00:48you tom in Washington. Give me some looks that you might like here. Yeah.

00:52First off, this game actually has some really nice weather. It's like it's

00:56gonna be in the 80s. A little bit of wind blowing out 10 to 15 miles per

00:59hour. I'm like this is an important thing for especially early in the

01:01season. Like there are dramatic weather changes, especially in the Northeast

01:06and there's dramatic differences that it's gonna be cold this upcoming week.

01:09So we're gonna see some cold stuff. We're going to that nice day in

01:11Washington. Some hitting weather. Uh, no, it's a good picture. As you know,

01:15his strikeout rate wasn't as high as it was previously in his career is not

01:18gonna be getting up to 29 30%. Parker's a little bit more interesting. Last

01:22year, a lot of 4 24 slugging to righties. He's a lefty pitcher for 53

01:27extra 1.33 home runs per nine with a little bit of wind blowing out. I am

01:32interested in some of the Phillies hitters. We will get to the home runs

01:34later, but you know, Alec bombs at the top of my list today.

01:38Alec bomb darn right here, and I have him on that list as well. So we'll get

01:42to it. But you're right early in the season. It's very important. Once we

01:45get into June, July and August, you can anticipate East Coast 80 to 85

01:49degrees. You know, some of those desert places where it's like Arizona domes

01:52will be shut at that point. Some of those guys are actually playing a

01:54little bit more for the elements until you actually have to start closing

01:58things down in Texas and Houston, where it gets just too hot in the summer. So

02:01we do take a look at 80 degrees and temperatures and wind blowing out the

02:03dead center field. That should help. Ball was flying over the past couple

02:07games between the Phillies and the Nationals. If we take a look at

02:10Mitchell Parker last year for me, he actually had some decent numbers. 646

02:14total batters that he's faced a 1 50 ISIL combined to lefties and righties

02:17and a weighted on base percentage of 3 15, which is really good. However, that

02:21Phillies lineup, and it's hard to have a compilation of just a few days. But

02:25last year they really hit left into pitching. Well, Turner, Harper, Boehm,

02:28Schwarber, Castellanos. But again, some of these elements are going to change

02:32today because no J. T. Ramuto in the lineup and no trade Turner in the

02:35lineup. As I just take a look to see as those lineups have just come out,

02:38particularly for the Philadelphia Phillies. Looks like we have Schwarber,

02:41Boehm, Harper, Castellanos, Scott, Sosa, Marsh, Rojas and Marshawn will be the

02:47catcher today as opposed to J. T. Ramuto. So a little bit different of a

02:50look for me as I'm lining it up. Left handed batters had really struggled

02:55last year against Mitchell Parker. But right in the batters didn't fare all

02:57that great. Take a look at a 1 73 ISIL power number coupled with the weighted

03:00on base percentage of 3 19. That's all that great. But that's the angle that I

03:04do want to play. So for chances for me on R. B. I. Props, I like the Philly

03:08side a little bit more than the Washington side because I think the

03:10pitchers matchup is a little bit more in focus for the Phillies. I had Alec

03:14Boehm to get an R. B. I. Plus 1 70 price listed a fando and then also Nick

03:17Castellanos a plus 1 45 price at that 3 65 for some R. B. I. Chances. The

03:23reason sometimes you'll find me taking R. B. I. Is at least two. What do I

03:25need, Tom? Just cash me one of those R. B. I. Props here for plus money. Get

03:29both of them. You nail them down. But those are two batters I'm focused on in

03:32the lineup today for the Philadelphia Phillies. Right. And this is how we can

03:37look to build in a little bit of correlation when we look at implied team

03:40totals, right? Where if you say you grab two that you like a team as an

03:43implied team, total four and a half, five, whatever might be, you grab two

03:46of them. They're both at plus money. Again, you just need one of them come

03:49through and you're coming out net positive, at least in that game. And we

03:52like to obviously extend that through the course of the slate. So that's a

03:55pretty consistent theme that you'll hear from Donnie and I throughout the

03:59entire year, whether it be R. B. I. Is total basis. It's like, listen, they

04:02have a five implied team total. They're gonna be getting on base. Someone's

04:05gonna be scoring. Let's try and find that player. Let's try to look at the

04:08matches between the picture of the ice allows wherever might be low strike

04:11area from batters or something. I love is not wasting chances at the play. Put

04:14the ball in play. Get on base. Not gonna run.

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