Although the Atlantic remains quiet of tropical activity, AccuWeather's Bernie Rayno is monitoring the Caribbean and the Gulf of America for potential tropical development of new storms.
00:00Well, the Eastern Pacific, we've seen storm after storm after storm, including our major hurricane, Eric, that made landfall in the western part of Oaxaca State in southwest Mexico. The Atlantic Basin has been quiet. Now, it typically is quiet in the tropical Atlantic. You usually see development, if you're going to see it, homegrown development. Gulf of America, northwest Caribbean, southwest coast of the United States, or southeast coast.
00:30Southwest Atlantic, southeast coast of the United States. Now, here's what's going on in the Atlantic. This is typical dry air and lots of it here across the tropical Atlantic and even some pockets of dry here in the Gulf of America, southwest Caribbean as well. So you have the dry air, which doesn't prevent any of these tropical waves coming off Africa to develop. And the other thing you have is a lot of wind shear, winds coming in out of the west southwest here.
00:57And that's what's preventing much in the way of development here. We do have area of clouds. You'll notice we've seen showers, thunderstorms across Central America. I mean, these are areas that you would look for development.
01:09But again, not much going on here right now because of the wind shear. Here's our wind shear product. Wherever you see dark purple is where you have wind shear. The entire Atlantic Basin covered in wind shear.
01:20And that's why we're not looking for much of any development here in the short term. Now, our big upper high starts developing and moving across the Mid-South and the Ohio Valley here.
01:31And you always look along the eastern and southern sides of the upper air, upper high for development.
01:36I have two areas to watch next week, right? Last week of June. Southeast coast of the United States and also the Bay of Campeche and the Northwest Caribbean.
01:45At this point, I think the chances for development in these areas is less than 15 percent.
