- 6/12/2025
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00:00and tonight DRS it is game number four of the 2025 Stanley Cup final two days off
00:06but the same venue that's in Sunrise Florida as the reigning champs the Panthers have a 2-1
00:12series advantage and after a decisive and dominant 6-1 victory in game number three
00:18Florida is very very close to going back to back here are the odds right now ahead of game
00:24number four of course Edmonton an ever so slight outright favorite to bring the cup back to Canada
00:30before this series got started over a two dollar favorite after winning game number two uh game
00:36number one excuse me in overtime but Florida has responded with two consecutive wins and ahead of
00:42game number four on home ice tonight the Panthers a minus 265 outright favorite DRS to win Lord
00:49Stanley's Cup for a second consecutive year yeah after game number one that victory in overtime by
00:54the Edmonton Oilers like oh man that's a pretty juicy price here on the Panthers maybe to climb
00:58back into the series with a game number two win you're getting like around that plus 180 price
01:02point and said that looks like a pretty good price you probably should buy into that now fast forward
01:06to a two to one series lead here for the Florida Panthers I don't have that same optimism where I
01:10look at the Edmonton Oilers in the series price and say you know what now's the time to buy in at a
01:14plus 215 price are we shutting the door on the Edmonton Oilers that they can't make a series of this
01:19get to at least game six or game number seven or heck even win the series no we're not but I just don't
01:23get that same feeling after what I saw in game number three now's the time to buy into the Oilers
01:27now that they're down in the series at a better price than you could have gotten to start the
01:31series which they were a slight favorite and also no longer are we looking at those first two games
01:35or three games hey minus 115s minus 120s if you want to lay it now the Florida Panthers at the
01:40FanDuel Sportsbook today to win this game minus 152 a plus 126 price on the opposite side for the
01:46Edmonton Oilers after that game three performance as I said I'm feeling all Panthered up right now
01:51they look like the better team here even after two coin flips in game number ones and two
01:55everything could change though with an Oilers victory but optimistic for me I'm just not
02:00feeling that right now for the game tonight here for the Edmonton Oilers yeah DRS it really felt as
02:06though this series would go back and forth back and forth more than likely seeing seven as we did in
02:12the cup final rematch a year ago but a very different Stanley Cup of course as it played out last
02:18season Florida opening up a 3-0 series advantage Edmonton won game number 4-8-1 and then won the
02:25next two to force that seventh game in Florida we have talked about the stark similarities and yet
02:30those distinct differences as well it was the Oilers this time around with home ice advantage
02:35they went game number one so not falling in that 0-3 series deficit and yet with how game three played
02:42out in Florida with the first two games being decided in overtime needing two OTs in game two
02:49we thought this was going to be decided with a razor thin margin game three looked different 6-1 win for
02:55Florida the Panthers scoring multiple goals in every period and not just that DRS the Panthers are known
03:01around the National Hockey League as being able to fluster their opposition getting under the skin
03:07of their opponents that's what it seemed like Edmonton committed 21 total penalties as a team
03:14and we had a couple of brawls in that third and final period did not look great for the Oilers and
03:19that confidence do you still expect this though DRS to get to seven games it's plus 135 in terms of the
03:27series total games and its distance here for the 2025 cup final it's hard to say yes like again if we
03:34had an overtime game in game number three it's like yeah that probably makes some sense here and
03:38depending who won game number three if it was the Edmonton Oilers that sort of would surge up but the
03:42fact that they got hammered in game number three which again a two to one series lead and still an
03:46extra game on home ice now for the Florida Panthers and the Florida Panthers are favored at minus 152
03:51to win this game so just looking at the odds market here they're expected to go up three to one
03:56in this series which means we probably aren't getting to a game number seven so based on just what we saw
04:01the short series so far three games I don't think we're going seven because again I don't have good
04:05vibes for Edmonton but just like the Pacers to start their series I don't think they can win it
04:09hopefully they can be competitive come on Edmonton surprise us tonight win that game in Florida let's
04:13go back to Edmonton here tied at 2-2 and away we go in a best of three then we're getting seven games
04:19at that point right but tonight I still think the Florida Panthers are the better team and they
04:23probably win this game Florida a minus 152 home ice favorite it is the largest margin on the money line
04:30we have seen in favor of any team so far in this cup final total is six and a half once again
04:36all three games have skied to the over whether it's needed overtime or of course in game three
04:41in regulation and Sam Bennett for the Panthers who has scored four total goals and in every single
04:47game it's now that cons my favorite not Connor McDavid TV Tom Vecchio of Sports Grid live right here
04:55on this Thursday on the early line Vecchio as always we call you the jack of all trades a big
05:02spot for you my friend after game three of the 2025 NBA finals in our next segment together we'll look
05:09at how game four shapes up with only one day off the only time there is only one off day in the NBA
05:15championship series how quickly can the thunder turn things around and how close are the Pacers to
05:21actually winning an NBA championship but before any of that Vecchio it's game number four tonight
05:27in South Florida of the 2025 Stanley Cup final your perspective on it all it is our pleasure always to
05:34have you here on this Thursday of course thanks for having me yeah let's get into the NHL we have seen
05:40three straight overs and I one of the takes I had coming out of game three is I was very confident
05:46that that game could have ended three to one four to one that I'm not saying I had that perspective
05:51going in but we have to look at this game after it happened where the Panthers had 11 power play
05:56opportunities which is an absurd amount any game let alone for a Stanley Cup final game so with the
06:02extra chances obviously the game opened up at a certain point just because it kind of got out of
06:05hand that's where we saw the fifth and sixth goal from the Panthers and that's what pushed the game over
06:08if they didn't have those extra opportunities that game flow stayed within relative normal play that game
06:14could have very easily ended three to one four to one so we have seen three overs to start the series
06:19but I am cautious about the over tonight because again we could be coming off of a two again three
06:25one we say oh we have two overs one under now we're at a turning point in the series where we will start
06:29to see a lot of under so take things with a grain of salt what we saw from the last game and I think
06:33Bob Borowski will be in for a very busy night six and a half is that total tonight for a fourth
06:41consecutive game as Vecchio alluded to all three games to start the 2025 Cup final have skied to
06:47the over the only one in regulation well I guess game number two was in regulation as well but game
06:53number one skied to the over because of the overtime winner for Leon Dreisaitl let's talk about the actual
06:59flow Vecchio of how you expect this game to be played out of course in the first two needing at least
07:07one overtime session to decide our winner it seemed like we were going to have tightly contested matchup
07:13after tightly contested matchup game to game being decided by a razor thin margin then Florida wins
07:206-1 in game number three Edmonton looked a little bit flustered committing 21 penalties as well and now
07:27the Panthers are a minus 152 home money line favorite for game four the strongest price in favor of any team
07:35to win outright so far in the Stanley Cup final will this game be competitive tonight or might Florida
07:43have changed the entire uh tenor of this series with how dominant they were in game three I think
07:50both things can be true it will be very tightly contested tonight but they kind of have shifted
07:54things in the series I will say objectively I think minus 150 or whatever it ends up at minus 152 I think
07:59that's a bit much to be laying in this series overall so if I had to pick a side I would simply take the
08:05plus money with Edmonton but it really comes down to them scoring first if they do not score first the
08:10crowd's gonna get behind Florida and I think they will be playing on that back foot the entire time
08:14and the game may go over again because of the extra goals late Oilers have to score first but I also
08:19want to say under one and a half in the first period should be an entertaining game no doubt about it and
08:25hopefully this leads to an entertaining series because the first two games were fantastic game number three
08:29was a blowout which brings us back to the FanDuel Sportsbook saying all right who can actually win
08:33in this series after game number one you got a really good dog price on the Florida Panthers
08:38obviously that's gone the Florida Panthers up two to one now in the series has a minus 265 price
08:42but the question for you Tom from me is not the Panthers the Oilers at plus 215 buy and point at this
08:48or boy you got to see something before they get back into the series before you spend some money on them
08:52well I already have a couple positions on the Oilers so I'm not thrilled about it right now but if I didn't
08:58I would say coming into the series empty we're coming into game four to say empty you would say
09:02I'm not going to bet on the Oilers money line in game four I'm going to bet on the Oilers series
09:06price because if they do tie this up when it's also like they still have home mics if they tie this up
09:11they'll be back at home for game five and they would be back at home for game six so don't I don't know
09:15what them would flash the money line again there Joe our producer behind the scenes for tonight's game
09:19was at one what are they plus 120 120 128 126 whatever it might be don't bet that bet the 215
09:26on the series price because listen if they tie it up tonight you're gonna have an awesome spot to hedge
09:30out and then take the Panthers coming back in game five and then you're perfect and that perhaps the
09:36biggest difference in this cup final between Edmonton and Florida as compared to last year when the
09:42Panthers as the reigning champs of course won that first Stanley Cup Edmonton does have home ice
09:47advantage if they can equalize tonight in game number four let's talk about the individuals
09:53Vecchio for tonight's game if you are approaching it from a prop perspective what is that prop you
09:59are looking at for tonight's game four and sunrise let's go to Sergey Bobrovsky the goalie for the
10:04Panthers over 26 and a half saves uh he's been over this mark in all the games and we have to take
10:09that with a grain of salt because some of those games went to overtime and or double overtime in the
10:12first games so we have to remember for FanDuel at least when you're betting on these are 60 minute
10:17lines it has to be done in regulation so we look back to last game he got over there uh he got to
10:22I believe it was 30 uh 32 saves in game two when it went to double overtime so again make sure you're
10:28betting the right lines when you see 42 saves in the first two games hey that 42 saves always flying
10:32over 26 that's not the case so 26 I believe that the Oilers are going to have to come out with
10:36consistency throughout the entire game if we look at the 32 saves that Bobrovsky had in game three
10:40we have to remember the 11 power play opportunities for the Panthers took the puck off their sticks they were
10:45on defense for half the game so they decrease the penalties they will have as many consistent
10:49offensive chances that they can possibly get which should put Bobrovsky in a clear spot to go over
10:54all right now let's take a look quickly here at the cons of my thoughts here at the FanDuel
10:58Sportsbook used to be all about Connor McDavid no longer why because the Oilers don't have a lead
11:02in this series anymore it's two to one for Florida which means Sam Bennett as the favorite
11:06at a minus 120 price Connor McDavid plus 270 Brad Marchand who actually had a very good series
11:11so far scoring a lot of timely goals eight to one price any looks there in that con Smythe room here
11:17for you Tom so I still have a position on Bobrovsky at three and a half to one I think he still might
11:22be the answer at 12 I was talking with Kevin last night on GTD and if we again subtract some of the
11:27goals the extra goals that happened in that game in game three again that could have ended three to
11:31one forward one and that takes away a point or a goal here or there for all these players and at
11:35some point all those players kind of cancel each other out if they all five goals six goals ten
11:39points whatever it might be they all cannibalize at each other at a certain point and multiple games
11:44hit the under and the Panthers winning Bob will be in a spot to win if they didn't give it to him
11:48last year again writers at a certain point may just give it to Bob yes Bennett's been awesome he has
11:52all these role throughout the entire playoffs but Bob's in the great spot it should be noted that
11:58playoff Bob Sergei Bobrovsky had the shortest price of a Panther to win the con Smythe entering the
12:03Stanley Cup final it is a playoff MVP award DRS enjoy the money line we're on TN next
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