Pablo Lopez: An Underrated Pitcher You Shouldn't Miss

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00:00the underrated starting pitchers.

00:02And we're going to go with this first name,

00:04and to me, underrated.

00:06But I think it speaks to the fact

00:08that there's this recency bias

00:10that everyone is so easily and quickly to forget.

00:13We're going to talk about Pablo Lopez.

00:15We're going to talk about Pablo Lopez

00:15as an underrated starting pitcher,

00:17but I don't know about you,

00:18maybe I'm an old guy,

00:20but if I come around on a draft,

00:22and I need some pitching,

00:22and Pablo Lopez is standing there,

00:24each and every time I want to hang out with Pablo Lopez,

00:27I'm going to have a good time with Pablo Lopez.

00:29Well, that's fine, but Pablo Lopez is being drafted

00:31around the 70th guy off the board.

00:34And I think it's kind of crazy.

00:36Another guy that I think is a fantasy ace.

00:38Now, people are a little frustrated with Pablo Lopez

00:41because last year,

00:42and we even talked about it in season last year,

00:44ERA was high, and it wasn't his fault,

00:46and we kept saying it's not his fault,

00:48it's the team around him,

00:50that's what's going on here.

00:51Buy low on Pablo Lopez.

00:53I can't remember how many buy low segments

00:55we did on Pablo Lopez last year.

00:56And hopefully you did,

00:57but the point we're making is,

00:59the ERA does not match the rest of the deeper numbers.

01:03ERA was 4.08 last year.

01:06The XERA was 367.

01:09The FIP was 365.

01:11And the XFIP, right, was 3.36.

01:14So that's the fielder independent pitching numbers, right?

01:16So basically everything's screaming

01:18that Pablo Lopez should have had an ERA closer to 3-3.

01:21And if he did, I think we'd be looking at Pablo Lopez

01:24probably as a top 30 overall player.

01:27But instead, we're talking about him in the late 60s,

01:29and I think that's kind of crazy.

01:31He is one year removed in 2023

01:33from having 234 strikeouts in 194 innings last year,

01:37198 strikeouts in 185 innings.

01:40I don't get it.

01:41Matt, this is still an ace,

01:43yet he's going as the 70th player in NFBC drafts.

01:46I don't understand it.

01:47He is my argument for the entire cause

01:50of why am I taking Tariq Skubal

01:54in the ninth overall pick or 10th overall pick,

01:57instead I'm looking at Pablo Lopez going,

01:59all right, I can get basically that guy.

02:01But 60, 70 picks later, it's just kind of crazy to me.

02:05So Pablo Lopez is number one on my list.

02:08Why do you think Pablo Lopez is being so,

02:10I think, underappreciated this year?

02:12So while you were talking,

02:13I kind of went off in one of those zen moments,

02:16as I tend to do.

02:18And here's what I think.

02:19I think that either A,

02:20not enough people have a working knowledge of pitching

02:23so that they can only get the brand name stuff

02:26because they might not know who's Hunter Brown,

02:28Schwellenbar, how do I pronounce that?

02:30Who do I say?

02:31Smith-Schwaver, who's that?

02:33Because pitching is deep and hitting is a bit more fun.

02:36Pitching is a bit more thinking to the average wagerer

02:39and the average fantasy player.

02:40So maybe there's that.

02:41But then there is also the fact

02:42that there are just so many shiny new toys coming out

02:45each and every season, each and every year

02:48that, again, you make fun of it.

02:49Your mother took you to Marshalls.

02:50My mother took me to Filings Basin

02:52because that same item two years ago was $90

02:58just because it's two years removed

02:59and there's a new item out now that's $180.

03:02This item is now $45.

03:04It's still a $90 item.

03:06It's called value.

03:07I'm trying to teach it to my two little kids.

03:08Pablo Lopez has value.

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