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How bet NFL Playoff Teasers?
BetMGM Network
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1/28/2025
Spreads are getting tighter as the Big Game approaches! Joe O helps us find the best betting angles.
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🥇
Sports
Transcript
Display full video transcript
00:00
One thing that really jumps out to me
00:03
is how sharp these markets are.
00:06
And that's expected.
00:07
When you get a large sample size
00:09
of all these teams playing around 20 games,
00:12
you know everything.
00:14
There's no uncovered gem here.
00:16
You have everything and we trust the market.
00:19
And so what does that bring us?
00:22
Tight point spreads.
00:24
What does that give us an opportunity to do?
00:28
Teasers.
00:30
Because if you move a number, move a team
00:34
where it makes sense and you're not going through zero.
00:37
So I did that exercise.
00:38
And we talked about teasers
00:39
every single round of this playoffs.
00:42
So let's say you're not going through zero.
00:44
All right, wildcard round.
00:45
Houston, you move them up to eight and a half.
00:48
Baltimore, let's tease them down
00:49
through the seven, through the three.
00:50
Buffalo, let's bring them down
00:52
through the seven, through the three.
00:54
Let's bring that Philly number down
00:57
to where it's right around zero.
00:58
That's what I'm talking about.
01:00
So if we look at the 10 playoff games,
01:04
teasers, if you kind of follow that Wong theory,
01:08
it's not perfect every time.
01:09
But if you follow it for the most part,
01:12
nine in one in the playoffs, nine in one.
01:16
Buffalo hit every single time, all three times.
01:21
Philly hit in every single week.
01:24
The one loser where it went against the grain.
01:28
Can you guess?
01:29
Detroit.
01:31
Detroit down.
01:31
Yeah, Detroit down.
01:33
Washington wins by a couple of scores.
01:36
That was, that's your one L right there.
01:39
That's it, man.
01:40
So when you get tight point spreads,
01:42
it kind of, at this point in the year,
01:45
you deal with the totals, even though,
01:46
even the higher totals.
01:48
Unders hit in the first round of the playoffs,
01:51
then it was overs after that.
01:53
But teasers are a good look,
01:54
I think, in the playoffs most years.
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