How bet NFL Playoff Teasers?

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Spreads are getting tighter as the Big Game approaches! Joe O helps us find the best betting angles.

Transcript

00:00One thing that really jumps out to me

00:03is how sharp these markets are.

00:06And that's expected.

00:07When you get a large sample size

00:09of all these teams playing around 20 games,

00:12you know everything.

00:14There's no uncovered gem here.

00:16You have everything and we trust the market.

00:19And so what does that bring us?

00:22Tight point spreads.

00:24What does that give us an opportunity to do?

00:28Teasers.

00:30Because if you move a number, move a team

00:34where it makes sense and you're not going through zero.

00:37So I did that exercise.

00:38And we talked about teasers

00:39every single round of this playoffs.

00:42So let's say you're not going through zero.

00:44All right, wildcard round.

00:45Houston, you move them up to eight and a half.

00:48Baltimore, let's tease them down

00:49through the seven, through the three.

00:50Buffalo, let's bring them down

00:52through the seven, through the three.

00:54Let's bring that Philly number down

00:57to where it's right around zero.

00:58That's what I'm talking about.

01:00So if we look at the 10 playoff games,

01:04teasers, if you kind of follow that Wong theory,

01:08it's not perfect every time.

01:09But if you follow it for the most part,

01:12nine in one in the playoffs, nine in one.

01:16Buffalo hit every single time, all three times.

01:21Philly hit in every single week.

01:24The one loser where it went against the grain.

01:28Can you guess?

01:29Detroit.

01:31Detroit down.

01:31Yeah, Detroit down.

01:33Washington wins by a couple of scores.

01:36That was, that's your one L right there.

01:39That's it, man.

01:40So when you get tight point spreads,

01:42it kind of, at this point in the year,

01:45you deal with the totals, even though,

01:46even the higher totals.

01:48Unders hit in the first round of the playoffs,

01:51then it was overs after that.

01:53But teasers are a good look,

01:54I think, in the playoffs most years.

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