Exploring Mahomes' Rising Odds for Touchdown in Super Bowl

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00:00but Xavier Worthy is plus 150.

00:04Marquise Brown is plus 260.

00:09And as I said, Patrick Mahomes is plus four to one.

00:13So the opportunity is there to cash in

00:16on any of these three players, Joe.

00:18Is Mahomes the best number though of all of these three?

00:22We saw him rush another touchdown.

00:24It feels like in the big games,

00:25they sort of unleash him as they get into the red zone.

00:30Almost 180 rushing yards

00:32in the four Super Bowls for Mahomes.

00:33He takes the ball into his own hands

00:35and makes things happen.

00:36And I love this for a couple of reasons.

00:38And I know we talked about this a little bit on Friday.

00:40Not only are you getting a great number on Mahomes,

00:42but you're also getting a situation

00:44where you have Jalen Carter coming up the middle, right?

00:46Flushing him out of the pocket.

00:48You have some really good quality cornerback play

00:51and a bunch of mid-level wide receivers

00:53who don't create separation.

00:55So what does that mean?

00:56You don't have a lot of time to throw the football

00:58and a lot of people aren't open right away.

01:00That means Mahomes might have to take off and run a lot.

01:02And if you get down to those goal line scenarios

01:04or those red zone scenarios,

01:06I can see Mahomes doing a lot of what he did last week

01:08against the Buffalo Bills, which is saying,

01:09screw it, I'm taking this ball myself

01:11and we're gonna get that touchdown.

01:12And you know, he's not afraid of contact.

01:14He showed you that.

01:15He's gonna go in there.

01:16He's gonna mix it up with the goal line if he has to.

01:17So plus 400, I love this number.

01:20I think Mahomes scores a touchdown in this game.

01:22I think it's Mahomes.

01:23I think it's Hunt.

01:24I think it's one of those two other wide receivers.

01:26My money would be unworthy.

01:28It would not shock me if it's Hollywood Brown.

01:30Wouldn't shock me if it's Hopkins either.

01:32It wouldn't shock me if it's anybody

01:33because Mahomes is gonna find some rando

01:36who's open in the end zone

01:37because that's what Patrick Mahomes does.

01:39He doesn't care about your stats.

01:40He cares about touchdowns.

01:42And I think he's gonna rush one in today.

01:43I really do.

01:44I like this plus 400.

01:45I don't know if George likes it as much as I do,

01:48but maybe this is where we finally disagree.

01:52No, it is not.

01:53Once again, I agree with everything you said here.

01:55The rando might be Judith Smith-Huston, by the way.

01:58I wouldn't forget about Smith-Huston.

01:59Right, another rando, right.

02:01Right, Hopkins actually might surprise me

02:03if he ended up being the big guy.

02:05I am on a host of Mahomes props, all right?

02:08I keep saying this.

02:09I don't think they can run the ball.

02:10I think Mahomes is gonna crush his attempts,

02:13which is what, 35 and a half now?

02:15Or maybe 36 and a half.

02:16I got it at 35 and a half.

02:17I think he's gonna crush his completions.

02:19I think he's gonna crush his rushing yards.

02:20I think he's gonna get the end zone as well here.

02:22He has to.

02:23He has to beat this team today.

02:25They're not gonna be able to run the ball consistently.

02:28They're not gonna get the second and fours.

02:29If they keep running the ball,

02:30it's gonna be second and eight, second and nine.

02:32I think Joe, you said something that was perfect.

02:33He's gonna feel the need.

02:35I'm scrambling, there's nobody open.

02:36I gotta get the first down.

02:38And maybe one of those first downs will be a touchdown.

02:40You know, people forget that a touchdown

02:41is a first down there.

02:41Hey, look for that.

02:44I just think he has to be that guy today

02:45or else the Chiefs have no chance here.

02:47So yes, there's not a Mahomes prop I don't like.

02:51I think he's gonna get sacked moving three and a half times.

02:53I think he's gonna throw in a deception.

02:54He's gonna drop back 40 times.

02:55It's too late, he's gonna get picked.

02:57You know, so it won't be his fault here,

02:59but he has to have a great game.

03:00This game's all on Mahomes for the Chiefs.

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