Exploring Jalen Hurts' Passing Props and Game Predictions

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00:00We'll go to a bunch of Jalen Hurts prophecy if you like any of them, all of them, some, none.

00:05213 is the passing yards number on Hurts with a little bit of a lean toward the under here.

00:11Hurts had a fantastic Super Bowl a couple years ago. In fact, to the point that we thought we

00:18were going to be seeing these offensive numbers from Hurts for year after year,

00:22MVP after MVP, went the other way last year. And this year he was fine. Don't make any mistake

00:29about it. He's a good player, Joe. I'll start with you. A good player, Jalen Hurts. But I mean,

00:36I do look at the under here a little bit. I mean, it's just, he's not, with Barkley there,

00:41he is not throwing the ball nearly as much. Injury status, he does seem to be fine.

00:46And I know that there's been a lot of focus on his rushing numbers in this game, but it does

00:50seem to me that 213 feels fair. A much higher number in the Super Bowl. People are looking

00:57toward that. Wait a second. How did he throw for 350 in the Super Bowl? Why is this number only 213?

01:02Yeah, I'm with you. I'm going towards the under there too. Here we go again. We're going to bring

01:07back some game log action for you. He has gone over this number three times since week 10.

01:13Twice against who? Say it with me. The Washington Commanders. So I feel like maybe it's just the

01:19Commander stats that have us thinking the Eagles are a certain way. And that's also the last thing

01:23we saw, which is another dominant performance against a team that they were built to beat.

01:28You know, that familiarity factor with the teams in your division is very different. You know,

01:32some teams beat up on those teams in their division. Others struggle and it's very tight. We

01:37see sometimes that AFC North, those games get a little wacky between those teams that you're not

01:42anticipating necessarily, you know, the Steelers to lose to the Browns, right? And, but stuff like

01:46that happens sometimes. The other time he went over this was against the Pittsburgh Steelers.

01:50Now, the interesting thing here is I'm with you. I feel like if anything, I'm looking towards the

01:54under on this one, because this is the sake of one Barkley show right now. And if you do have

01:58to consistently put the ball in Jalen Hurts hands, it's not that he's not capable. Jalen Hurts is a

02:02winner. I don't want to take anything away from him because he does win a ton of games and he

02:06finds ways to win. I'm looking more for the rushing props on Jalen Hurts today than I am on

02:10the passing props, but I'm looking at the passing. I'm going to fade towards the under here because

02:14the trend line is once again, that they're just not going to establish that sort of elite level

02:19passing game. Not to mention the Spags blitz is not going to give a lot of time to throw the ball.

02:24Good point. Let's, let's go to George here first.

02:29I can just parrot Joe. I agree with everything he said there. It's down to 211.5, by the way,

02:34on my book. So, you know, I don't like taking unders. I'm an over guy. Most of us are over guys,

02:41who you can win that better early. Like, oh, third quarter, it's over. Great. Cash that,

02:45you know, but Joe put up with irrelevant stats. He generally doesn't hit this number.

02:49I don't think this is going to be where he's trailing by multiple scores where he has to

02:52throw the football. You know, I expect Philadelphia to be the leader, at least be a close game where

02:56you're keeping a normal game plan here. I also say this, I expect Philadelphia money to come in

03:02at some point. All right. We're always numbers going to change here. So if you want to bet

03:05unders, I would wait closer to game time. I think you'll get better prices or better yardage where

03:10that might go up to 213, 214 on my book, and you get to take the under there. So you can take the

03:15under and got it or hurts or whatever else we're going to talk about the rest of the show. I would

03:19wait a few hours here to see if that Philadelphia money comes in. All right. So, so, so far,

03:23Matt, we're three for three here on the under. You want to close it out? Here's the thing. Let

03:28me pull back the curtain for you to make a point. When I was wrestling, a lot of times I'd wrestle

03:32guys. I'd say, Hey, what are some things you don't normally do? Give me the things that you

03:38aren't known for, because that's going to pop the crowd. I have the sneaking suspicion

03:44that perhaps the Eagles are preparing backwards. So look, you've done this, the last 10 games,

03:49clearly the other teams looking at that and preparing for you. Let's throw some things in.

03:53I think he has to go over. It's the Superbowl. Everyone's watching. I have that kind of feel.

04:00So I'm going to break the trend here. All right, Matt, back to you here for passing touchdowns

04:05on Jalen hurts. His number is one and a half and an over is plus one 70. The under is minus two 20.

04:14Again, the betting assumption is that the number is one. So that's not an option here. I'm sure

04:21there's somewhere where the alt bet is available, but I mean, two touchdowns does not seem like that

04:28much in the Superbowl. It would be under the assumption that Philly cannot get in near the

04:32goal line where Hertz fails near the goal line on the push, push Barkley fails on the goal line.

04:37Then it brings up a third down, maybe an even a fourth. I don't know. This doesn't seem that

04:41bad for me at plus one 70.

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