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Which BC Lions team will show up this week? | CFL Full Week 18 Preview
Peter Klein
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10/5/2024
The BC Lions should have an easy time with the Calgary Stampeders this week. Peter Klein explains why he's not totally confident that will happen as he previews the full week in the CFL.
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00:00
The always unpredictable world of the Canadian Football League travels into week 18, with
00:15
just three games on the schedule, two of them tonight, and then a Saturday night tilt in
00:19
Edmonton between the Saskatchewan Rough Riders and the Edmonton Elks.
00:24
Um, let's, just gonna go quickly, because I, quite frankly, I've seen the numbers,
00:29
and I know that the CFL segments don't necessarily thrive on here.
00:33
So that is why I told you, coming in, um, hey, we're gonna talk about some other stuff
00:37
in a second, but just let, let me get my jollies off here with the Canadian Football League,
00:41
and uh, we'll go on from there.
00:43
Winnipeg taking on the Hamilton Tiger Cats.
00:45
Um, by the way, for uh, best bets, uh, projections or predictions or whatever, um, I do have
00:52
a story up, uh, I'll put it here in the uh, the chat actually, you know, gotta promote
00:56
myself where I can, uh, but the uh, the best bets for three down nation for this week,
01:03
uh, there's three picks that I am going with.
01:06
You have to go read that to get the, the official predictions, I guess, um, so I'm not gonna
01:11
give out any like, official plays here, uh, but just gonna tell you what I think about
01:15
each game.
01:16
Um, so we start with the Winnipeg Blue Bombers taking on the Hamilton Tiger Cats, um, Winnipeg,
01:22
they seem like they have figured it out now.
01:24
The offense hadn't really been clicking up to this point, like they were scoring points,
01:28
they put up a bunch of points against Saskatchewan, but it still didn't look comfortable.
01:32
It looked comfortable against Edmonton last week.
01:34
And that's an Edmonton defense that was kind of improving, but kind of not, um, but defensively
01:39
this team is just SO good right now, and while Hamilton is doing a better job of limiting
01:47
points, um, with their defense, I do worry about what this offense can do against Winnipeg's
01:53
defense.
01:54
And so, like, Hamilton's bounce back here has been great, they are basically pushing
01:59
up on BC for that last playoff spot in the first ever east to west crossover, we've never
02:05
had it before.
02:06
Um, and I made the joke on CFL This Week when I was there a couple of weeks ago, I actually
02:10
had someone tell me that you can't at one point because, oh, well, one league has more
02:14
teams than the other, so you can't, or one division, sorry, has more teams than the other,
02:17
so you can't have an east-west crossover.
02:20
And I was like, okay, well, that checks out, we've never seen it, so maybe that's why.
02:23
And it was only until years later that I realized that, oh no, that's actually not a thing.
02:27
Um, Hamilton does have a real opportunity here, but this is a really tough matchup against
02:32
Winnipeg, and I just think the Bombers are playing as the most complete football team
02:36
probably in the league right now, so I think the Bombers do end up getting the job done.
02:39
Calgary, going into BC to take on the Lions, Conrad, only prediction I think, Stamps officially
02:45
eliminated.
02:46
Yeah.
02:47
Yeah.
02:48
Yeah.
02:49
Um.
02:50
This is tough.
02:51
Like, the spread in this game was seven, and so, admittedly, I stayed away from it on the
02:55
best bets, um, because I just, I don't trust BC to be a team that can put up those sorts
03:01
of points.
03:02
Now, Calgary has been doggy-doo-doo on the road so far this year, and BC actually has
03:07
a pretty good home-field advantage, which could help them out into November, although
03:11
it seems like they're going to have to win at least one road game if they are going to
03:15
get to that point.
03:16
And that is a road game that they have had challenges with in the past, but we will talk
03:19
about that next month.
03:21
For now, it just, it's so inconsistent with BC.
03:25
One week it looks like Rorik's figured it out, the next he hasn't.
03:27
One week, this defense looks great because they have bets, and then they get Hladik back,
03:32
and he, the defense gives up a ton of points to Hamilton and loses.
03:36
They have had too many, ah, we got this, games, and have not looked good.
03:40
And honestly, Calgary was the benefactors of one of those, where the Lions I think had
03:44
their worst game of the year at McMahon, and ended up losing, um, 25-24, even though
03:50
the Stampeders gave them all sorts of opportunities to come back into that game.
03:55
So I do think that, I do think BC wins this game.
03:58
But it is going to be, I think, surprisingly close.
04:01
And then we get to Saturday.
04:02
It is the Saskatchewan Roughriders taking on the Elks of Edmonton, um, Saskatchewan coming
04:06
off of back-to-back wins, Edmonton, it feels like their party has kind of calmed down after
04:12
Winnipeg kicked the shit out of them last week.
04:14
Um, the one thing that I think Saskatchewan is going to have to do, A, they have to be
04:20
better on first down.
04:21
They are the worst team in the league on first down, and it has set up so many, 2nd and 7th,
04:26
2nd and 8th, 2nd and 9th, and… the joke amongst my Ryder fan friends has been for
04:33
the last, like, couple of years, even though we only had them for a little bit last year,
04:37
man, if you need 9 yards on 2nd down, there is no one better than Trevor Harris at getting
04:42
you 7 yards.
04:43
Um, and part of that is the receivers running the routes and stuff like that, like, I don't
04:47
know what it is about this team that if it's 2nd and 7, we are running a 5 yard out.
04:53
Like, I get tackling in the CFL ain't the NFL, but it's gotten better, and we need
04:59
to stop relying on those sorts of things.
05:01
Just as a league in general, but as a Saskatchewan Roughriders definitely.
05:04
So they need to be better on first down.
05:06
But they need to be a little bit more aggressive, offensively.
05:08
And they have been that, at times.
05:11
But Edmonton is so bad at giving up the big play.
05:15
They have given up the most in the Canadian Football League this year.
05:17
Now Saskatchewan has some of the least amount of big plays, but with guys like Emelus, Keyshawn
05:23
Johnson has shown to be a real weapon, I think, down the field as well.
05:27
I think you have a couple of guys that Saskatchewan can take advantage of that against Edmonton.
05:30
And as Ryder's defense is getting healthier, I didn't, sorry, I didn't see the practice
05:34
report yesterday so I don't know if Rivas is playing, or if Cox is playing, but still,
05:39
getting Milligan back, getting Lanier back on the defensive line, along with Micah Johnson.
05:43
Those guys have stepped up.
05:44
I just think it's a long day for Edmonton.
05:47
The Ryders got run all over by Edmonton when these two teams played.
05:51
You can tell by the breakdowns which game I'm the most focused on, right?
05:54
But they ran all over Saskatchewan last time these two teams played, but that was with
05:59
Trey Ford.
06:00
It's going to be MBT back there, and against basically everyone else.
06:04
Saskatchewan has done a great job of shutting down the run.
06:06
And so I think they will turn Edmonton into being a bit of a one-dimensional football
06:12
team, and that's where the Ryders thrive.
06:13
So I think Saskatchewan ends up getting the job done there.
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