Dodgers Seen as Foregone NL Favorites Despite Flaws

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00:00Still feels like it's being priced as a foregoing conclusion.

00:02That's the Los Angeles Dodgers to win the NL.

00:06They're priced right now, Joe Niro at a plus 120 number.

00:08The Philadelphia Phillies at 5-1.

00:09The Mets at plus 550.

00:11Brewers who actually have the best record here in the National League

00:14at a 7-1 price and tied with the Cubs at a 7-1.

00:17Let's start up top.

00:18The Dodgers creeping into that territory

00:21of not having the best record in the National League

00:23but almost into minus money as the odds-on favorite to win the National League.

00:28Plus 120 for the Dodgers.

00:30If I told you today you had a free bet,

00:32would you be placing it on the Los Angeles Dodgers

00:34at a plus 120 price to win the pennant in the National League?

00:38Very hard to bet against them.

00:42Reinforcements, obviously, from a pitching perspective on their way back.

00:46They've shown they're vulnerable.

00:48They may not be the 100-and-what, Donnie,

00:506-7-win team that everyone thought they were going to be this year.

00:54The bullpen, the injuries to the starting rotation have mounted.

00:59And quite honestly, they're a little top-heavy.

01:01So it's not like the Dodgers are an automatic, like everyone thinks they are.

01:07But the question is, who can we trust to go and beat them?

01:12And right now, you know, until the Phillies,

01:15I see what the Phillies do over the next week as far as their bullpen goes.

01:19I would love to get behind the Phillies here, but I don't trust that bullpen.

01:25I think that's the biggest issue.

01:26And I don't trust the starting pitching of the New York Mets.

01:29So the Brewers, to me, who have already shown they own this Dodgers team this season

01:35for whatever reason, Donnie.

01:37How are we betting?

01:38The Brewers already shown us that if there's a team to beat the Dodgers, it's them.

01:43Like, again, their price plus 120, as if it's a foregone conclusion

01:47when the expectations are once they get healthy, nobody's going to touch them.

01:50And maybe that's the case.

01:51But we also have to understand, like in football, when we talk about like,

01:54all right, well, it's the playoffs.

01:55It's a one-game playoff.

01:56And any Sunday, any given Sunday, you hear that terminology,

02:00but you still expect the better teams to win.

02:02But we see in Major League Baseball more and more.

02:04You head to the playoffs.

02:04It doesn't matter what you did in May, June, July, or even August.

02:08What did you do the final two weeks in September?

02:11Can those bats carry over?

02:13Because those early series, the wild card round, three games,

02:15the NLDS, the ALCS, five games, you get down 2-0, you're not coming back.

02:20I don't care how good you are at that point.

02:22It's not a seven-game series.

02:23You're not running the table when a team just beat you

02:25or your bats fall silent at the absolute wrong time.

02:29The Phillies have potential.

02:30In the past, they've gotten really hot in September

02:32and carried themselves into the World Series, into the NLCS, the NLDS.

02:36We don't know if that's going to happen.

02:37But if I'm just looking at the trust factor,

02:40I do think the Dodgers will make some moves.

02:42I'm expecting Tyler Glass done that with a couple good starts back off the IL.

02:44Now, Shoya Otani's going to get increased there.

02:46Yamamoto, you have the makings of a really good pitching staff.

02:50The Phillies, we know, have a good pitching staff.

02:52The Mets, to me, have a lot of question marks.

02:53The Brewers are almost like that workman-like, blue-collar effort

02:56where every day they might not have a great pitcher on the mound,

02:59but they certainly got a serviceable one.

03:00And Mizorowski, if he continues to lead

03:02and they let him go more than 65 pitches in a game,

03:05what he can be in the playoffs here is an absolute flame-throwing weapon that we've seen.

03:10The Cubs and the Padres.

03:11So, when I'm betting and saying, you know, do I want to take the Dodgers to plus 120?

03:15Not necessarily.

03:16Do I think the Dodgers probably will be the best team?

03:18Yes, I do.

03:19But that price point, plus 120?

03:20Stop the madness on that, Joe.

03:22I mean, ridiculous.

03:23Like I said, this is a plus 120 at this point in the season.

03:27You're just penciling their name in, right,

03:31to represent the National League and the World Series.

03:33But again, we have seen, especially prior to the All-Star break

03:38and even after the All-Star break, they are very vulnerable.

03:43And they're doing it by beating guys like Glass now, who have pitched well,

03:47but the bullpen lets them down.

03:49You know, the lineup isn't as good as we thought it would be, one through nine.

03:54Yeah.

03:54And when you have a team like the Brewers,

03:56who can go out there and beat that pitching of yours,

04:01you got a problem here, Dodgers.

04:04They are not worth plus 120.

04:06I think that is way overvalued here.

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