NL West Leads MLB Divisions in World Series Odds 2024

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00:00How about the World Series winning division, not just a team, but a division.

00:09The National League West has the shortest price of the six divisions around Major League

00:13Baseball.

00:14Hard to argue that right now.

00:16The Dodgers and the surging Padres and the Diamondbacks in the second half.

00:21The American League East has both the Yankees, the best team in the American League at this

00:25moment, and the Orioles, who have been a little bit middling throughout this month

00:31of August.

00:32The National League East could very well have two or three teams, more than likely two,

00:37with Philadelphia, who has not been playing great in either the Braves or the Mets.

00:42The American League Central, more than likely, is going to have three of the six American

00:47League playoff teams, and yet has a 7-1 number.

00:51Make that make sense.

00:52The American League West probably only getting one in the same story for the National League

00:56Central.

00:57Not exactly the most optimistic postseason look at the Milwaukee Brewers at a 17-1 price.

01:03DRS, you see the divisional odds of which MLB division is going to win a World Series.

01:09Who would get your bet?

01:10Yeah, probably you're taking a look, and sometimes, obviously, it's going to be plus money, the

01:14plus 230 here with the NL West, but it seems like you're getting a discount and a bargain,

01:19even though they're the highest, or I should say, the lowest odds in the marketplace, because

01:23you're going to get three cracks at the playoffs, and I know the season doesn't end now.

01:27You might be looking at the Padres, hey, the Padres just lost eight of 10 games after that

01:31hot streak here because they've lost back-to-back two games, but if we're just taking a look

01:34at that snapshot of, let's just say, the past month in Major League Baseball, how can you

01:38not go with the NL West?

01:39The Dodgers right now rounding into form, and then you take a look at the Padres and

01:43the Diamondbacks have been absolutely wonderful.

01:45You take a look at the Philadelphia Phillies, who maybe at a time, the Phillies and the

01:48Braves would have been that one-two punch.

01:50I don't think the Braves are very good, and I think the Phillies stink right now, but

01:53again, we're talking about this in the last week of August, not the last week of September.

01:59It is interesting that the AL Central might get multiple teams in at a 7-1 price, but

02:02we're still looking at that AL East and saying to ourself, okay, if Donnie keeps on telling

02:07me the Orioles and the Yankees are the best, that's also a good shot to go to, but it's

02:12not just saying, well, I'm just going to take the lowest odds on the board.

02:15I truly believe the NL West is the best division in baseball, and you're getting three cracks

02:20at teams just to make it to the World Series in an effort to win it.

02:24That's the way you have to go at this point.

02:26Yeah, absolutely.

02:27So Donnie is spot on.

02:29Quantity and quality-wise, the NL West checks every box.

02:33The Padres' number is still 21-1 to win a World Series, same price for Arizona.

02:38The Dodgers remain the short favorites at plus 320, but three numbers in the 10 best

02:43prices to win a World Series out of the same division.

02:46But what about the quantity of the American League Central, where I do think you have

02:50some value perhaps at that 7-1 number on the division as a whole, but the two best prices

02:56are the Twins and the Guardians at 16-1 to win the World Series.

03:02That's tied for sixth best, and the fifth best number is nearly half those two prices.

03:08It's the Houston Astros at plus 950.

03:11Just quality, the American League East, with the battle for the top spot between the Yankees

03:16and the Orioles, is probably where you would look.

03:20New York, plus 500, third best price, only 20 cents back of Philadelphia for that second

03:27best number, less than $2 back of the Dodgers, and the Orioles at plus 750 have the fourth

03:33best number.

03:34So the division in the American League East has two of the four best prices.

03:38Again, the odds maker is giving that division and the two top teams a very optimistic outlook.

03:43Absolutely, and they should.

03:45So if we're looking also down the list, 17-1, the NL Central, the reason why these are interesting

03:49prices is because we're not even saying at this point, sometimes you look at the wildcard

03:53race, Ben, and say, you know what, I'm going to pick a team that's three and a half games

03:56back out of the wildcard right now because they have a great price.

03:59Well, at the end of the season, they might not make it into the playoffs, so forget about

04:02that great price.

04:03You take a look at the NL Central, the only reason I'm bringing it up is somebody has

04:07to go into the playoffs as the divisional winner.

04:10Somebody is going to get a first-round home series in their own building.

04:15So even though the teams aren't really advantageous, they're like, ooh, I don't know if they can

04:19win it, but 17-1, you should say like, okay, well, maybe a team doesn't get in because

04:23only the top five or six records go in, and let's just say they don't have that.

04:27But somebody's got to get in.

04:28Same thing with the AL West.

04:29As much as you say to yourself about the Houston Astros, ooh, Donnie didn't like them throughout

04:33the season, and maybe I can't get on board, but they're going to win that division.

04:38They're going to be home.

04:39Their pitching staff might even be getting healthier as we go towards the break.

04:42So it's easy to say for me, NL West at that plus-2.30 price, yes, it makes some sense

04:47because I think you have three of the best baseball teams in Major League Baseball in

04:51that same division.

04:52But at the same time, you'd be hard-pressed to leave out those final couple teams because

04:57every single team, excuse me, every single division is going to get at least one team

05:01in and that division winner does get home field advantage, at least for round number one.

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