Exploring 2025 World Series Odds: Dodgers Favored, NL Value Bets

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00:00Let's talk World Series here, and Joe, if I gave you a chance to tell me who's favorite to win the

00:05World Series, who would you say it's going to be? Gee whiz, is it the Dodgers? Yeah, it's the

00:12Dodgers at plus 250, but we're going to throw the chalk out as they do in horse racing. We're going

00:16to try to find some numbers here. Yankees are here, Braves are here, Phillies are here. I like

00:21them. The Mets, the Orioles are here. You think the Orioles took a step back? I think they have

00:25everything and more. Let's talk about the 2025 World Series odds. Well, here's the thing. You've

00:33heard me on this show time and time again, fade the Yankees, right? And that's been right. I faded

00:37the Dodgers a couple years ago, right? And it was correct. Last year, it was wrong. And what scares

00:43me the most about the Dodgers this year is the bullpen and what they've done to not only bring

00:48back guys in the bullpen, but bring in more bullpen help. So if the Dodgers get out of the

00:56National League, I don't think there's an American League team that can hang with them. I just don't.

00:59Sorry, Yankees. I just don't think you can hang with the Dodgers. I don't think the Red Sox can.

01:04I certainly don't think the Orioles can. So for me, it's looking for NL teams with value that

01:10can beat the Dodgers on the way there in a five-game series, right? Anything can happen

01:14in a five-game series or a seven-game series. You know, sometimes guys get ice cold. Some guys,

01:18you know, get hot. You know, the Mets pushed the Dodgers further than the Yankees did.

01:22And I think the Phillies would have pushed the Dodgers further than the Yankees would too. I'll

01:25be honest with you. So I think the best wagers are coming from within the National League on this.

01:31So on the American League side, you know, the Orioles and the Yankees are the tops in this

01:36favorite grouping. And I'm going to stay away from them. I'm a little worried about still the

01:40health of Garrett Cole over a whole season and Max Freed. If those guys stay healthy, then yeah,

01:44the Yankees are certainly a team that's going to be at the top of the American League.

01:49The Braves are really intriguing to me at plus 900, because

01:54if they can get Spencer Strider back healthy at some point, you look at that rotation, Strider,

02:00Sale, Schwellenbach, who was terrific last year. You have Reinaldo Lopez coming off a career season

02:07too. Can he repeat it? We'll see. But that's a rotation that you feel good about in a playoff

02:12scenario, right? A dominant Chris Sale, a dominant Spencer Strider, if he's right. Okay. So don't rush

02:16him, hang close, pick up the wild card, just get in the dance. But when you get Acuna back, let's

02:22not forget about how good this lineup is. They went out and they got Jerickson Profar, right?

02:25So he's going to towards the top of this order. You got Riley, hopefully coming back healthy

02:29to have a bounce back season. You still have Olsen. You're getting Ozuna. And of course,

02:33you're adding Ronald Acuna to Ozzie Albies. It's a really good lineup, a really good rotation and

02:39a bullpen that's pretty sound. They're the team that you have to watch for. If the Mets pick up

02:44a big time starting pitcher in addition to what they have, I would be very much in on the Mets

02:49too. But I think right now the Braves and Phillies at plus 900 plus 1100, those are the teams that

02:55are structured, I think the best to beat the Dodgers. So look for the teams within the

03:00National League, not for a team to beat the Dodgers in the World Series, because I just don't

03:03think those American League teams stack up. Matt, what do you think?

03:07Yep, I think you're a thousand percent right in the teams that you've outlined. Look, after Acuna

03:11went down, everything kind of just fell off for the Braves and then a few more key injuries. And

03:16they were just like, all right, let's back it up and worry about next season. But here they come

03:18back again. I think they're the juggernaut when healthy and they have to be. Phillies are important.

03:22You ask a great questions, who can upend the Dodgers on their way? So you ask yourself,

03:27do the Cubs have it? Can they do it? Do the Padres have it? Can they do it? And these are

03:31questions you answer for yourself as a wager. But on the American League side of things, I think it's

03:35a team like Cleveland, a team that has that good six inning, seven inning baseball, that star and

03:41that just good baseball acumen. And I really am not counting out the Orioles for a reason that you

03:46were highlighting is their bullpen. I made the joke in hour one that they have pretty much every

03:51guy that all of us have streamed for saves over the last three years. They have Kittredge, Dominguez,

03:56Soto, Batista coming back. So I think you want to find that American League representation is a

04:01good baseball team. But Joe's right. It's going to have to be someone to upend the Dodgers on the way

04:06in, Joe. Yeah. And in terms of long shots, I mean, I don't love any of them. If they can get some

04:14offense, maybe the Mariners are plus 2600 because that is a rotation nobody wants to face in the

04:19short series. Absolutely not. So can they get that offense together? Can they hit enough?

04:24That's the big question there. Maybe even the Red Sox, too. I still wonder about Garrett

04:28Crochet when you start to cross that threshold of innings, what it looks like in August and

04:32September or, dare I say, October for them. The Rangers, if they stay healthy, there's a little

04:37bit of love there. But again, you got to put a lot of the eggs in that to ground basket. So

04:41I think it's a top heavy situation in Major League Baseball, which is unfortunate. We like more

04:45parity. I wouldn't sleep on the Cubs either, but it feels like the favorites, the favorites for a reason.

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