Looking ahead to next week

AccuWeather

AccuWeather's Joe Lundberg was live on the AccuWeather Network on June 27 with a look ahead at the forecast for next week.

Transcript

00:00Joining me right now is AccuWeather Long Range expert, meteorologist Joe Lumberg.

00:04Joe, lots to talk about as we get closer and closer to the month of July.

00:08But let's review the tape from last week.

00:11All right.

00:13Joe, it's all about where that upper high is going to be.

00:16It really is.

00:17This is basically a dome of heat, a dome of high pressure that's going to just produce

00:22tremendous heat and humidity across all of this area, from the Plains, States, and Midwest,

00:27all the way to the Ohio Valley.

00:29Nineties, there's probably going to be a few triple-edged heats, a lot of record.

00:32And as disturbances come through the north and west, they go over the top of this ridge.

00:36There's probably going to be some shower and thunderstorm activity in here Monday, Tuesday,

00:40and into Wednesday.

00:41And some of that will creep eastward.

00:42And as it does, it may have a tendency to chip away at the heat as we go toward Thursday and Friday.

00:49Pretty much that's how exactly everything worked out, Joe.

00:53It did.

00:54And I think one of the things that we can talk about for next week in our three things to know

00:58is that the heat is gone, the extreme heat.

01:00That doesn't mean they're not going to see some nineties scattered across the country,

01:03but that persistent upper nineties near 100 heat with a high humidity, that's gone.

01:08That's off the table.

01:08Don't be surprised if you don't see that again for the rest of the summer,

01:11that kind of extremity in the mid-Atlantic.

01:13Stormy Independence Day concerns from the Plains to the Midwest.

01:16We'll keep an eye on that.

01:17Watching for homegrown tropical development late next week.

01:20So those are some of the three things that we're looking at for next week.

01:22Joe, before we can talk about where we're going, let's talk about the pattern and why it just got so hot this week.

01:29Yeah, I was talking with our long-range team lead, Paul Pastelok,

01:33and he was suggesting that we kind of look where we are and where we're going and how we're going to get there.

01:38This is what we've been dealing with, this big upper-level ridge of high pressure,

01:41and it produced the extreme heat from Midwest, St. Louis, Chicago, all the way to Philadelphia, New York City, Boston, Washington, D.C.

01:49and it was dry and comfortable in the west.

01:51As we go toward the middle of July, that's going to change.

01:54The upper-level ridge will be centered more over the Rockies in the interior northwest.

01:58A little disturbance is trying to kick in from the eastern Pacific through the northwest.

02:01The northwest flow here, though, means active weather from the central and northern plains and midwest into the Ohio Valley,

02:07and a tendency for less heat, less oppressiveness, if you will, for the mid-Atlantic and northeast.

02:13So that's the good side of it, but the bad side is you're going to have some active weather in here.

02:16That's where we're going. To get there, you're going to be spinning the roulette wheel, if you will,

02:21and as that happens, you're going to see some showers and thunderstorms primarily afternoon and evenings.

02:25West Texas and New Mexico, this is kind of like the ignition of the monsoon season there.

02:30Most of the west, hot and dry, maybe some spotty thunderstorms in the inner mountain northwest.

02:34Keep an eye on this area for Independence Day, really Thursday, Thursday night into Friday.

02:38There could be some showers and thunderstorms, a lot of bit of rain there, and maybe some severe weather.

02:42In the east, it's most active across the first half of the week.

02:46It should tend to dry out later in the week, which means good news for you on Independence Day in the northeast.

02:51Tropics have been quiet, y'all, though we did get a tropical storm, Andrea, for about 10 minutes north and east of Bermuda.

02:58But we talked about homegrown development.

03:01That's what you typically see this time of the year, and there's a little area we're just going to keep an eye on.

03:06It still seems like a very low probability.

03:08I think so. I mean, there's just too many things going against it.

03:12But this is the area. It's underneath the belly of the high, as you were talking about earlier.

03:16And it's this area from the central northern Gulf across Florida, the southwest Atlantic.

03:21If something's going to go, that's the area of concern.

03:23I think in the main development region of the tropics, nothing's going to happen anytime soon.

03:27AccuWeather Long Range expert Joe Lumberg.

03:29Joe's back with us at 9.15.

03:32AccuWeather Early continues after this.

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