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  • 5/13/2025
Transcript
00:00We stay in Detroit, and what are the prices?
00:03A dead-even pick-em tonight for the Tigers and the Sox.
00:06Minus 108 at this very moment, DRS, between these two clubs.
00:11Total stands at 8.5.
00:13Tanner Houck gets the start for Boston.
00:15Jackson Jobe gets the start and the nod for Detroit.
00:19It's a pick-em who wins in the Motor City.
00:22Jobe has the highest X-fip on the card today.
00:24I have those 22 pitchers, so that's all that may be fade material right off the bat.
00:27But also Tanner Houck, 41-1 in the third innings pitch.
00:29How about an ERA of 6.10, but his X-fip is 4.24.
00:33So maybe getting a little bit unlucky there with that ERA.
00:36If you take a look at Jobe, a 4.88 ERA, he's pitching every bit as bad as that ERA.
00:41Why? His X-fip number is a 5.09.
00:44So you focus on Jobe, who's got hit hard from both lefty and righties here.
00:47You take a look at the lineup.
00:48James Duran over the past couple—excuse me, Jaron Duran over the past couple weeks.
00:52A 208 ISO against right-handed pitchers.
00:54You take a look at Rafael Devers, 227.
00:56Alex Bregman here, 384.
00:58Willie Obrey, 270 here.
01:00I like what I see out of the first five batters in that lineup.
01:02And again, Jobe's high X-fip numbers, which means a lot of fly balls, a lot of walks, and a lot of strikeouts, which means traffic on the bases.
01:10Houck hasn't been that great.
01:11And also, there are some really good spots for Detroit tonight in this lineup.
01:14You look at Houck struggling mostly with left-handed batters to the tune of a 247 ISO and a weighted-on-base percentage of 444.
01:20Carpenter's got good numbers.
01:21Cole Keith's got good numbers.
01:23Riley Green's got good numbers in there.
01:24So you got some lefties.
01:25So again, today, 75 degrees.
01:27Wind is blowing in, but warmer temperatures here.
01:29Why can't we get some runs between these two ball clubs?
01:32I'm looking again towards an over here.
01:33So more better vibes today, better hitting conditions, and lineups that make some sense.
01:38What makes the difference between them a little bit?
02:01Let's see.

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