Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Matchup: Croucher vs Francis Preview

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00:00The Red Sox and the Blue Jays squaring off in the six.

00:03Garrett Crochet gets the nod for Boston.

00:06The Red Sox, because of it, with their ace on the bump,

00:09a favorite in Toronto, total stands at seven and a half.

00:13What do you like today between the Jays and the Red Sox?

00:16It's a shame we don't have this game in Boston, right?

00:18Because you would have had 18-mile-an-hour winds

00:19blowing out the right field,

00:20which really would set up some left-handed batters

00:22that I'd like tonight, which we'll get to in just a moment.

00:24But Crochet's been great.

00:25Six starts this year, 37 innings pitched, a 195 ERA,

00:29and an XFIP number of 3.15.

00:32You'll take that each and every time.

00:33You take a look at Crochet on the season.

00:35Look at the ISO against, Ben.

00:360.38, fantastic.

00:38Weighted on base percentage, 2.28, fantastic.

00:40K rate combined between lefty and righty batters, 30%,

00:43which includes a 40% strikeout rate to left-handed batters,

00:47completely neutralizing them.

00:49But I want to focus on the Boston batters

00:51because I don't know if the roof's going to be open or not,

00:53but it's a dome.

00:54Wind's not really going to creep into there all that much and help out.

00:56But that's okay.

00:57If we look at Bowdoin Francis on the mound,

00:5964 left-handed batters he's faced this year, Ben.

01:02A .309 ISO and a weighted on base percentage of .363 against.

01:06That is the danger zone.

01:07So you take a look at some of the left-handed batters

01:09that have done well against right-handed pitching

01:10for those Red Sox this year.

01:1294 at-bats for Duran in the leadoff spot.

01:14366 weighted on base percentage.

01:16Raphael Devers had that terrible start.

01:18Now up to a .208 ISO and a .341 weighted on base percentage

01:21against right-handed pitching.

01:22And then one of my favorite guys in the lineup,

01:24Willier Abreu, 90 at-bats against right-handed pitching,

01:27a .266 ISO and a weighted on base percentage of .404.

01:31Yes, Boston is favored to the better team tonight.

01:33But if I'm looking from a player perspective,

01:35those left-handed batters based on,

01:37I'm going to focus on a little bit more about Francis later today,

01:39on those splits together, that's the direction I'm going.

01:42Left-handed bats for Boston should do some damage tonight.

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