Yankees vs. Guardians: Game Preview & Stats Insights

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Transcript

00:00We've got a matchup between the guards and the Yanks,

00:03where the Yankees, despite having Will Warren on the bump,

00:06are a slight favorite, even though Cleveland sends out Tanner Bybee.

00:10DRS total eight and a half now.

00:12Is the right side favored in the land?

00:15Look, I'm telling you right now, usually you just look at the pitcher's names.

00:18The guy's just going to ride out Cleveland.

00:19They're better at home at this point.

00:20Maybe the Yankees will struggle.

00:21But Tanner Bybee, just by the name, it's like, oh, that's a solid pitcher.

00:24Not this year, he's not.

00:2588 batters he's faced, an ISO against of 333 combined,

00:28and it weighted on base percentage of 394.

00:30Not a lot of Ks and a lot of walks.

00:32You take a look at him on the card today, Ben, out of 30 pitchers with XFIP,

00:35he's 29th on the card at a 5.36.

00:38And an ERA, by the way, that's 5.85.

00:40So it's not like, whoa, low ERA, high XFIP, or, you know,

00:43vice versa at that point where he's getting a little bit unlucky.

00:45He's not.

00:46Take a look at Ben Rice, who wasn't in the lineup yesterday.

00:48If he's inserted back in, he's got high power numbers,

00:50as well as Aaron Judge and Jazz Chisholm.

00:52God love him.

00:53Goes up to the plate, strike out four times.

00:54Every once in a while, he runs into a home run like he did yesterday.

00:57You flip it to the other side and say, all right, Will Warren's on the mound.

01:00Terrible last year, not that great this year.

01:02And on the card, he's 15th out of 30.

01:04He's got an ERA of 5.17, but a lower XFIP of 4.01.

01:08I don't think you can ever go wrong with including in your prop every single night,

01:12Stephen Kwan, left-handed pitching, right-handed pitching for the lefty,

01:15it doesn't matter.

01:16Against righties this year, 62 plate appearances,

01:19a .226 ISO, a weighted on base percentage of 433,

01:22a K rate under 10%, and a walk rate above 10%.

01:24He's been everything they've asked for here.

01:27So I look at this and say, you know what?

01:30Will Warren should be okay in this game,

01:32and the Yankees should be able to hit Bybee.

01:33Why not go with the Yanks in a bounce back tonight?