Hunter Brown vs. Kris Bubic: Astros vs. Royals Breakdown

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00:00210 start today. This is from Kansas City. 969, 970 on the rotation. It's Houston. It's Kansas

00:05City. It's Brown versus Bubich, the left-handed pitcher on the mound today. This line opened up

00:10is about a minus 125 price for Hunter Brown and the Astros. It is higher, as high as 142 at

00:15DraftKings today. A total though, however, Tom, eight and a halves, now dipping to seven and a

00:19halves across the board. Yeah, it's pretty modest weather in Kansas City, at least that I'm seeing

00:24about 60 degrees wind blowing across the field from right to left at about 10. Hunter Brown's

00:29a really good pitcher, right? And it's not to say that Bubich isn't a good pitcher, but

00:32Hunter Brown is awesome. A 275 XFIP this year. Bubich is at 329. Brown with a 28% strikeout

00:39rate, 5% walk rate, 54% ground ball rate, 50% medium contact rate. These pitchers are essentially

00:45the same when Bubich is at 26 strikeout, 44 ground, 47 medium. I just don't see the Royals

00:51coming away with the win. Partly just do because I think they're on too long of a winning streak.

00:55And I will always say I'm willing to buy into teams that are on long winning streak or

00:59buying into teams that are on losing streaks and buying against teams that are on long

01:03winning streaks. It's baseball. And Hunter Brown is kind of that ace that the Astros

01:06need to kind of right the ship and break the Royals winning streak. That's really

01:10what it comes down to. I don't have a whole lot of interest in props here today. I just

01:13think there are better spots. Bobby Witt's awesome. Bobby Witt's won me a ton, but I

01:18just don't like the spot today.