Heat and elevated fire dangers for south-east Australia

Australian Community Media

South-east Australia will see a shift from hot, dry weather this weekend to cool, showery weather. Weather prediction by the Bureau of Meteorology at 12:00 pm AEDT March 14, 2025.

Transcript

00:00A shift in weather is on the way for southeastern Australia this weekend, as we move from hot,

00:05dry weather and elevated fire dangers to cool, showery weather as a cold front moves through.

00:11Our fire dangers are the main concern this weekend.

00:14Today, we're really looking at moderate to high fire dangers across the southeast,

00:18but as we move into tomorrow and that cold front gets closer, we're going to see the

00:22hot fire dangers starting to peak.

00:24We've got high fire dangers on the forecast throughout Victoria and southeast NSW, with

00:29extreme fire dangers for much of southern SA, including the Mt Lofty Ranges and Mid-North

00:34Districts.

00:35Now, those extreme fire dangers will trigger fire weather warnings as we go into tomorrow,

00:40and will promote very, very dangerous conditions for any fires that are ongoing in the landscape

00:45or any fresh fires that do develop.

00:48As we go into Sunday, fire dangers will ease for some through SA, but we're going to

00:53see high fire dangers increasing across parts of eastern NSW and through eastern Tasmania,

00:59as windy weather continues both ahead of and behind the front.

01:03Even as we go into Monday, some districts will still see high fire dangers on the forecast

01:08there.

01:09Now, in terms of our temperatures over the coming days, it's already quite warm across

01:13much of the southeast, with inland areas pushing up into the high 30s to low 40s, but in general,

01:19temperatures will peak tomorrow.

01:21Adelaide is looking at 39 degrees on the forecast, 36 for Melbourne, with low intensity heat

01:27wave conditions for many.

01:29As we move into Sunday, that cold front starts to bring some milder weather across SA and

01:34Victoria, but it stays hot through NSW, with Sydney hitting its warmest day with a top

01:39of 36 degrees.

01:41It's worth noting though that the coldest air behind the cold front will move in late

01:45Sunday going into Monday, however, so our coldest temperatures are likely to be seen

01:50on Monday.

01:51That's when we're looking at widespread temperatures in the high teens across the

01:54southeast.

01:55Inland, these temperatures are likely to reach the low 20s.

01:59It's also worth noting that it'll be so cool we may see small hail across parts of Tasmania

02:04late Sunday going into Monday, as well as possible snow flurries about the Tasmanian

02:08peaks.

02:11So how will our rainfall look over the coming days?

02:13Fairly dry across the mainland today, but we're going to see some showers starting

02:17to build across Tasmania as we go through the day tomorrow.

02:21Now it's worth noting that winds also build through that same period, and in fact Saturday

02:25evening going into Sunday morning is likely to be a very windy period, for Tasmania in

02:30particular, but may impact parts of southern Victoria and southeast SA as well.

02:35For Tasmania, those wind gusts might be damaging, so we may issue warnings around those winds

02:40over the next 24-48 hours or so, keep an eye on our website for those updates there.

02:46As the front starts to move through during Sunday, we're going to see a band of rain,

02:50showers and thunderstorms extending back across the mainland.

02:54In general, those thunderstorms are likely to be non-severe, but may still bring gusty

02:58winds and short, sharp downbursts as they move through, but we may see some severe thunderstorms

03:04developing across parts of northern and northeastern Victoria during Sunday afternoon and evening.

03:09Now they may deliver locally heavy rain or damaging wind gusts as they move through with

03:15the front.

03:17Moving through Sunday evening into Monday, the cold front will sweep up the east coast

03:21of New South Wales, likely reaching Sydney in the early hours of Monday morning with

03:25a burst of gusty southerly winds.

03:28Generally though, rainfall totals will be fairly low along the east coast, as they will

03:32be for much of the southeast, particularly through southeast SA, western and northern

03:37Victoria.

03:38In fact, the highest rainfall totals are going to be seen across western parts of Tasmania,

03:43although we will still see some moderate falls through northern Tasmania and parts

03:47of eastern Victoria as well.

03:49Thunderstorms may also deliver some moderate falls, but that's going to depend on exactly

03:53where they develop and move through the course of the weekend.

03:57So as we move from elevated fire dangers and dangerous fire weather conditions to cold,

04:02showery, cold front weather, make sure you stay on top of the forecasts and warnings

04:06via the Bureau's website and the BOM Weather app.

04:09Stay safe and we'll catch you next time.

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