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Bookmakers' Strategy for Managing the Public's Super Bowl Bets
SportsGrid
Follow
1/29/2025
Category
🥇
Sports
Transcript
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00:00
The books aren't necessarily looking for a side, right?
00:03
They are not looking to take a side in the game.
00:06
They may need one in a lopsided betting situation,
00:09
but with two public teams like this and a short spread,
00:13
they don't necessarily want to have to rely
00:15
on the Chiefs winning or the Eagles winning
00:17
in order for them to have a good or bad day.
00:19
If they get 50% down the middle on the bets, great.
00:23
We'll make it up somewhere else.
00:24
They like the volume, obviously,
00:27
and the juice paid to them,
00:29
but prop bets and parlays are key and big winners,
00:34
especially in the parlay front for the books.
00:37
Yeah, 100%.
00:38
I would imagine, if anything,
00:40
they'll be rooting against Travis Kelsey
00:41
scoring a touchdown,
00:43
rooting against Saquon scoring multiple touchdowns,
00:45
less than rooting for the Chiefs to cover one and a half.
00:49
Correct.
00:50
Saquon, minus 195 any time,
00:52
plus 400 to score that first touchdown,
00:55
and two touchdowns, plus 290,
00:57
which is an amazingly short price to score two touchdowns.
01:01
It's a very hard thing to predict.
01:02
He scored three the other day,
01:04
which would be 15 to one if he goes back to back
01:07
on scoring three touchdowns.
01:09
So did anything related to the lines,
01:13
obviously a short line, Chiefs a short favorite,
01:15
or the total, did that raise an eyebrow at all?
01:19
I thought it was about what I expected,
01:21
maybe a point higher on the total,
01:23
but these were the hypothetical lines
01:26
that were put out there,
01:27
and they haven't moved at all.
01:29
Yeah, the total, to me,
01:30
seems lower than I kind of would have guessed,
01:33
considering last year, you went to overtime,
01:36
and the Chiefs, obviously,
01:38
had been in a lot of close games again this year.
01:40
I mean, it's hard to factor in having overtime,
01:44
but I think it'll be a close game,
01:45
given the fact that,
01:47
while the Eagles can run the ball very well,
01:49
they've shown that,
01:51
the Chiefs can put up a lot of points in a quick hurry.
01:53
So I wouldn't be surprised if the Chiefs got out ahead,
01:56
and then the Eagles are kind of playing catch-up.
01:59
They do have a lot of weapons of their own,
02:01
so when there's so many big players involved,
02:04
and so many names,
02:05
and so many popular bets for any time touchdown,
02:07
it's hard for me to see it being a low-scoring game.
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