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Analyzing Key Pegasus World Cup Contenders & Strategies
SportsGrid
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1/24/2025
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00:00
Let's get into the field here. I'm going to remember this name, because as an Italian,
00:04
I butchered it last time I said, and then I got scolded for not knowing to correctly
00:10
pronounce the A. Muccia here from the inside, who's going to be a big price, who was well
00:14
defeated though by Emery a couple starts back. So I like her most recent win, but it was against
00:20
Softer. She's going to have to step up. The number two, Nick Style, real wild card in this race.
00:26
Five for six overall. Some of the wins have been against Softer, but she just continues to step up
00:31
and get a little bit better. She beat a horse named Our Disaster, who ran second behind her,
00:36
and then Our Disaster came back and won a race at Gulfstream last week. A pretty nice one.
00:40
Sterling Silver is the number three, and she's interesting because she's actually a really nice
00:45
late running sprinter. Her last two races have been going longer. I don't think that's her game.
00:50
She's going to cut back here. If they go fast early on, she can come closing and pick up the
00:55
pieces. So I would be using her in the bottom of Exotics. I'll pass the baton to you, Alexa,
01:00
on the number four, Hauling Ice. Yeah, and like you said, if they go fast early on, I do think
01:05
there is a fair amount of pace in here. So just keep that in mind for this. This might be one of
01:09
them, right? Hauling Ice. Yeah, four-year-old filly, 15 to one, long shot. A bit inconsistent
01:14
from a speed figure perspective, although has won half of her 10 lifetime starts and gotten
01:19
second in three others. Both times I've asked her to step up in class level,
01:25
she kind of disappointed majorly. So I don't really see a reason to believe why we would
01:30
expect differently today. Dazzling Move, the five, 20 to one, another long shot. Never been
01:37
asked to compete at this high of a level. So will be a big class test. All of her best performances
01:42
have come going longer distances, and her best performance was three races ago in the Pumpkin Pie,
01:46
where she was still over three lengths behind Nick Style. So tough, tough place to be. The six,
01:53
Jodi's Pride, at eight to one, has won half of lifetime starts. Super promising two-year-old.
01:59
She got second in the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies in 2023, and a neck behind just FYI.
02:06
Since then, has had some longer layoffs. Unfortunately, hasn't progressed as much
02:10
as you would hope. Her trainer, Jorge Abreu, is great at bringing his horses back after long
02:15
breaks. 30% win rate doing that, and nearly a $5 ROI. So that stat is really hard to ignore,
02:23
but at the same time, we would need to see a monumental improvement from what we saw last year.
02:28
Yeah, she's such a wild card because we know she's got talent. We know she was really good,
02:31
but was she just precocious? And was she just ahead of everybody then? Or can she continue
02:36
to progress? We'll find out on Saturday. Mystic Lake is really sharp in really nice form. It's
02:41
not even that I don't like Mystic Lake as a horse. It's just I like others a little bit more
02:46
in this spot, but she's very, very honest. She's proven at Goldstream Park. If you eliminate the
02:51
grass race, she faced Torpedo Anna and was probably a little overmatched there, and maybe
02:56
she just doesn't want to go all that long. Mystic Lake, very honest. Torpedo Anna, just to shout
03:03
out, won Horse of the Year last night. When you see her in the running lines, you shouldn't worry
03:08
if a horse got well defeated by Torpedo Anna. We actually have last year's winner of this race,
03:13
Olivia Darling, and she won last year. She was in really good form. She kind of tailed off a little
03:18
bit, but she bounced back with a nice sort of prep race to get her ready for this. It was against
03:23
an easy group, but she did what she was supposed to. She came from kind of the back of the pack
03:27
early on, but she fits pretty well with this group. I'm not sure how tough the field she beat
03:33
was, though, last year, but on speed figures, she's right there. Alexa, why don't you round
03:37
out the field with the horse to beat? Yep, Emery, 3-1, another short prize. Who's proven herself
03:43
multiple graded stakes wins, most recent being the Grade 2 Raven Run in October of last year.
03:49
She's consistent, continued to improve every race through her career, so I don't think there's any
03:54
reason to believe she wouldn't fire this weekend. She's won at this distance and I think can kind of
03:59
sit behind Mystic Lake and Nick Stile for a pretty comfortable trip. Yeah, I think being drawn to the
04:04
outside for her is actually a real positive because she has versatility. She doesn't really
04:09
want to be on the lead, but she can if no one else shows speed, but she wants to sit just off
04:13
with a target. So you have 9-2, 7-3. Anything else you want to mention about your top four?
04:20
No, I really like Emery and I wish I liked a longer priced horse in here,
04:26
but I do still think you can get some value out of the X-Acta in this race.
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