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Key NFL Betting Insights: Jonathan Taylor and Bijan Robinson
SportsGrid
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12/27/2024
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00:00
Where did you look on the board for an anytime TD score?
00:09
So some, I think when it comes to anytime touchdowns over the last few years, I think
00:14
I've gotten a lot more conservative on how to play these.
00:18
I think you have to get comfortable, in my opinion, laying some juice on these types
00:25
of bets.
00:27
There are some running back bets this week that are outsized in terms of anytime touchdowns,
00:34
like Saquon is minus 270 or something like that.
00:39
So I took Jonathan Taylor at minus 160.
00:42
I think you can be comfortable laying that amount of juice and feel pretty confident
00:46
that somebody that's touching the ball in the last three weeks, 29, 22, and 25 times,
00:53
I heard you talking about Anthony Richardson, I think the Colts know what's up.
00:58
The way for them to win games, especially against an inferior opponent like the Giants,
01:02
is just to give the ball to Taylor as many times as they can and rack up yards.
01:06
I think they'll be in a position to score with him.
01:09
He broke off a big one last week.
01:11
In fact, he scored three times last week, and I think he gets in the end zone again.
01:15
So Jonathan Taylor, minus 160 against a pretty putrid Giants defense.
01:20
Yeah, no, it's almost has to be a given at this point.
01:25
And to your point, everything you just laid out is exactly why I have to look at B.
01:31
John Robinson going into that game for Atlanta, who is taking their rookie quarterback on
01:39
his first road start here.
01:42
And like we saw last week, you need the other facets of the game need to step up.
01:47
Players need to step up.
01:48
So the defense do it last week with two pick sixes against the Giants.
01:54
We've seen B. John obviously run hard, and that's going to have to happen against a Washington
01:59
defense that, let's face it, Mike, over time has been, shall we say, yeah, susceptible
02:07
to the rushing attack.
02:08
I think if they get in a red zone, they're not going to ask him to do anything except
02:12
hand the ball off and get it into the end zone here.
02:16
So I think B. John, even at minus 140, is a look worth and a bet worth taking, given
02:23
the spot and the, you know, Michael Penix and his first road start.
02:27
I don't think they're going to take a lot of chances.
02:29
Do you?
02:30
No, I don't think so at all.
02:31
I think Colts and Falcons are probably going to have pretty similar game plans, honestly.
02:35
And that's why the two of us are going with these running backs.
02:39
They're the opposing defenses to give a lot of you give up a lot of yards on the ground.
02:45
The Giants in particular have given up the second most rushing yards amongst all defenses.
02:50
They've given up 16 rushing touchdowns.
02:52
I think that continues.
02:54
I think this is actually, I think that Washington-Atlanta game is pretty fascinating too, Joe.
03:01
Everybody's going to want this to be an easy one for the commanders, and I don't think
03:05
it will be.
03:06
I don't have a lot of faith in the Falcons, but I think this could be a knockdown, drag
03:11
out kind of game where we're sitting there in the fourth quarter saying, like, what the
03:17
hell is happening in this game?
03:18
I think it could be a wild one on Sunday.
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