Expert NFL Teaser Picks: Green Bay and Denver Insights

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00:00We get back on track this week, and we're both looking at dogs and taking them up.

00:07Where do you go first?

00:08I'm going to be a home dog for me, and that's Green Bay, up and over a touchdown, 8.5 going

00:17up against Detroit.

00:19Again, at home, getting points, you know, the thing that with a team like Detroit, who

00:26is going scorched earth and is beating the snot out of everyone they play, including

00:32teams like Dallas and Tennessee, what happens is that usually inflates the power rating

00:39of that team.

00:41Keeping in mind, Ben, this is pretty much a parity-laden league here, and that's not

00:46what we're seeing with this price.

00:47So Malik Willis, by the way, 2-0 with Green Bay as the starter, 1-0 when he enters in

00:54relief.

00:55I do think Jordan Love has been practicing.

00:57I think he goes.

00:59I think this is a field goal game at best.

01:01I wouldn't be shocked if Green Bay wins outright.

01:04But there is too much value in Green Bay getting 8.5 points for me to not use them in a teaser

01:11this week.

01:13Take it through two key numbers, through three, through seven.

01:16Great look, Joe.

01:17Green Bay, 10-5 against the number.

01:19As an underdog this year, or since the start of last year, I should say, they have been

01:24an underdog three times this season.

01:26Sao Paulo opener in Brazil, around a little bit wonky, didn't cover.

01:29But with the two starts Malik Willis has made, the Packers have won outright as an underdog,

01:35a really good dog team.

01:37I look at the Denver Broncos, taking them through 8.5, through 10, through 14.

01:42We'll go over two touchdowns, catching 14.5 against the Baltimore Ravens.

01:47Joe, I express some concern with this line.

01:51You think the Ravens win big.

01:52All right.

01:53They win by three scores, win by two touchdowns, and keep it at that.

01:59I do think this line is a little bit strange, though.

02:01Lamar Jackson has missed two consecutive days of practice.

02:03The line has worked down from 9.5 now to 8.5.

02:07I understand the Ravens are going to be a little bit miffed after blowing a game last

02:11week.

02:12But Baltimore, a favorite of a touchdown or more twice this season, they've lost outright

02:17in both.

02:18Denver is good against great competition, not so great against mediocre competition

02:23this season.

02:24And although Denver is 5-3, and 6-2 against the number, I do think it's a step up spot

02:30for the Broncos.

02:31I don't think the Broncos win this game outright.

02:33Heck, I'm not even sure they cover the original spread, but we'll keep it under 14 points

02:38or at least within that 14.5 point number.

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