Lions vs. Bills: Detroit Favored by 2.5 Points at Home

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00:00The Lions though are under a field goal favorite at home with the Buffalo Bills coming into their building who had themselves

00:07Quite the win streak, but but snapped last week and the loss to the Rams

00:13So you have this two and a half point spread and you have a total sitting big time

00:17No doubt at fifty four and a half. It's a tricky game. It is one where it feels like

00:26needs it to

00:29Games in a row

00:30Well, we've seen Buffalo lose two games in a row this year because they had back-to-back road games against the Ravens and the Texans

00:37two teams above

00:38500 the Buffalo Bills are

00:40Winless this season on the road against teams above 500 and now they're playing the team with the best record in football

00:48Look, I'm not trying to disrespect the Buffalo Bills, but there's no way

00:52I don't bet the Detroit Lions under a field goal at home Donnie in this spot

00:56No, you're absolutely right about that because sometimes we look as handicappers Kevin like what are we missing from this one?

01:01Like what's the situation and why doesn't this make sense?

01:04Because I look at the two and a half which it opened up still sits at two and a half right now

01:08I look at the ticket count roughly seven out of ten tickets coming on the Buffalo Bills and again spot might be decent for

01:13The bills but understand this and I get it the quarterback position Joe best in the NFL just might be Josh Allen

01:19Yeah, if you look at running back, it's Detroit offensive line. It's Detroit overall defensive measures

01:24It's Detroit and their home and it's under a field goal Joe help me with it

01:28Yeah, well you think about Detroit and how they play games?

01:31They're built to go explosive high up tempo type of games where they they put up 50 points or they're built to go

01:38Lower scoring run the football be more methodical and work off the defense

01:43So they are built as a full team and that's the one thing when you look at them right now

01:47They could go either way depending upon how Josh Allen and the Buffalo offense go

01:52I will say the last game that they did play against Green Bay. We saw Josh Jacobs have success on the ground

01:58I expect James Cook in terms of this matchup to have success

02:0249 and a half is his prop. I think Buffalo takes a different type of approach

02:06They want to maybe sustain drives a little bit more because look at what LA did to them. They jumped up early

02:12They felt that they could go toe-to-toe from an offensive perspective. They won the turnover battle

02:18Kick in terms of the pump block and that changed the whole complexity of the first half and Josh Allen was faced into in terms

02:25Of a catch-up type of situation. I don't think that's the case today

02:28I think they try to run the football and then put the pressure on Jarrick off now

02:32I do feel that st. Brown though has a big day today 70 and a half is his prop

02:38I like Buffalo though because of their ability to run the football. I think that's where it gets done

02:42I think the Detroit rush defense has stepped up a number of times throughout the season

02:46We'll see if they can do it again

02:47Josh last week used his legs a ton as much as he really has all season long and that lost to the LA Rams

02:54I think what's interesting is in that game for Buffalo when you when you play as

03:01appealing of the game right as Buffalo did last week it is

03:06Somehow it's not all that concerning again

03:09Like the Bills lost last week and it's Wow is Josh the best quarterback in football and just to make the comparison

03:14Eagles won last week and we're wondering if this team's going to lose out now all the sudden right but for Buffalo

03:22Josh played great. He's played great all season long. The defense was abused start to finish and

03:30Now you enter a game with both safeties and Taylor Rapp and DeMar Hamlin on the injury report

03:35Maybe they go tells me they're not a hundred percent and now the Lions who we know are versatile

03:40Offensively and can attack you however, you'd like on the ground through the air deep a short, you know intermediate areas of the field

03:47It makes for a very difficult challenge here. I think Donny you also just kind of mentioned the spot

03:52I think the Lions are in a significantly better spot having last played on a Thursday, right?

03:59This is a team that also played on a Thursday, but not on a short week, right?

04:03It was a Thursday to Thursday situation now on a mini by here compared to a Buffalo team who was out in LA last week

04:10I find the Lions to be again in a significantly better spot and I'll add this as well. Look sometimes we see teams where

04:18Okay, eventually your your cards gonna get pulled. It's not gonna work your direction

04:22We talk about Kansas City all the time

04:24But I've bet I've laid points with the Chiefs this year once

04:27It was laying two and a half at home against Baltimore because you know

04:31If you can DRS get to a spot where you lay

04:34Under a field goal with one of the best teams in the league at home. It's hard to pass up

04:40It is hard to pass up and also that's why we're trying to level because some outlets actually are showing a minus 2 at this

04:45Point here from Detroit. So you're saying do what's they know something?

04:48We don't because you are coming in significantly in a better spot as Kevin point out and rightfully so because yes

04:53Traveling out to the West Coast and using a lot of energy and losing that game and I continue to bring up this point

04:58It wasn't as if Buffalo went out there and lost 1413's at all. Gosh down to a late interception

05:02They correct that they'll be back into it. No, there was so many leaks in that secondary now

05:05We're not saying they could be as effective if Matthew Stafford was at that spot

05:09we're talking about Jared Goff has had the ability to throw touchdown passes a running game that should keep the

05:14Everything balanced and also a secondary that you just don't get towards last week

05:17That's going to get pressured from guys like Jamison Williams Williamson and also coming through there with Amara st

05:22Brown and that's why I think the rushing attack is critical for Buffalo because of the defensive

05:27Inefficiencies you want to stay on the football field as long as possible to give your defense a break, right?

05:32That's why we're seeing the 54 and a half's as well

05:34I mean Detroit puts up 34 in the window over Green Bay and we saw

05:3942 points out of Buffalo and we also saw their defense give up 44 to Matt Stafford

05:44That's why you're seeing such a high total. I lean to the under in terms of the matchup

05:48But again, if Buffalo is gonna win this game, they're gonna have to run the football

05:52They're gonna have to get in the area of about a hundred and thirty

05:55140 yards per game and kept to be honest can't be all Josh Allen. It has to be those running backs

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