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Analysis: Could Overseas Votes Swing the U.S. Election?
TaiwanPlus News
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11/1/2024
The U.S. presidential election on November 5 could come down to just a few votes in crucial swing states. Susan Dzieduszycka-Suinat with the U.S. Overseas Vote Foundation says citizens living abroad could play a key role in the outcome.
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00:00
How does an overseas voter participate in a U.S. election?
00:03
If they're living abroad, then where in the U.S. are they voting?
00:06
It is done at the local level.
00:09
They will review it at your election jurisdiction, and that is determined by your last address
00:16
in the United States.
00:18
That's your last U.S. residence where you really live.
00:20
That's where your ballot will be counted.
00:22
That determines your election jurisdiction that will process your application, send you
00:27
the blank ballot, receive your voted ballot, count it, and certify the election afterwards.
00:33
How might overseas votes affect the outcome of this year's presidential election, especially
00:37
in those key swing states where the margins are really close?
00:40
The swing states are top of mind this year, and the margins in those swing states can
00:46
be extremely tight.
00:49
There were two in 2020, Arizona and Georgia, which were between 10,000 and 12,000 votes
00:56
of a margin between the two candidates.
00:59
In those two states in 2020, the overseas vote came in in a greater number, between
01:05
18,000 and 19,000.
01:09
Right now, that's being looked at very carefully by the candidates, by the parties.
01:16
To be honest, I've been studying the numbers.
01:18
It would be tough to extend that beyond to other states, but if we can do that, if that
01:25
can be done again in Arizona and Georgia, I think it'll make the relevance of the overseas
01:31
vote that much more important.
01:35
Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump has recently said that overseas votes are
01:39
a cause of voter fraud.
01:41
Why have overseas voters become a target for these claims lately?
01:45
Trump's accusations, and I'm going to say false accusations, on Truth Social, this is
01:53
a pattern of gaslighting.
01:55
They're sowing the seeds for potential future claims and delays to counting the vote and
02:03
examination of ballots.
02:08
Overseas voter applications go through a lot of scrutiny.
02:11
We need to provide exactly the same information, exactly that, as a domestic absentee voter.
02:19
I would say that they're laying the groundwork for future challenges after the election to
02:25
the integrity of the vote.
02:27
Any ballot, request any ballot from a UOCAVA voter, I believe will stand up to any scrutiny.
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