Thursday afternoon forecast 20/10/22

Met Office

20 October - National weather forecast presented by Alex Deakin

Transcript

00:00Welcome to your latest weather update from the Met Office.

00:03Turning into quite a wet day across much of the United Kingdom.

00:07The satellite image shows an awful lot of cloud.

00:09Here's the UK, one swirl here, another one out in the Atlantic.

00:14That's a big area of low pressure that dominates our weather

00:17and is throwing up these bands of showers.

00:20This one in particular brought some very heavy rain

00:23across parts of eastern England earlier,

00:25some thunderstorms mixed in and it's all moving northwards.

00:28This rain is further west than we were expecting this time yesterday.

00:32So it is going to be a wetter day for north-west England and south-west Scotland.

00:36More rain to come over north-east England and south-east Scotland too.

00:40There'll be some showers following on across east Anglia and the south-east,

00:43but it is turning a bit drier and brighter here.

00:45And certainly compared to yesterday, it's a drier, brighter day for Northern Ireland,

00:48much of south Wales and south-west England with some sunshine.

00:51Mostly fine across the far north-west too.

00:53And it is pretty mild where it's dry.

00:56Temperatures well above average, bit of sunshine in the south, 19 Celsius is possible.

01:00But it doesn't feel all that mild stuck under that cloud and rain

01:03over much of northern England and southern Scotland this afternoon.

01:07That will continue to spiral into parts of eastern Scotland

01:11through this evening and overnight.

01:13We'll eventually see some getting across the Highlands and the Western Isles too.

01:16So a fairly wet night across northern Scotland,

01:19drier and clearer to the south of that band of rain.

01:22And that could allow things to turn quite foggy across Northern Ireland,

01:25northern England, parts of the Midlands for a time.

01:28And then the breeze picks up and further bands of showers come into the south-west.

01:32But that breeze is continually feeding warm air up from the south.

01:36So it is going to be a mild night.

01:38Friday is, broadly speaking, a day of sunshine and showers.

01:41Going to start with persistent rain over northern Scotland.

01:44But these bands of showers will head their way northwards

01:47and they'll dominate the weather through the day.

01:49Some heavy downpours, but tending to zip through because it will be quite blustery.

01:54Not too many getting to eastern England.

01:56So here, actually, a drier day to come tomorrow compared to today.

02:00And skies again should brighten across parts of northwest Scotland.

02:04Elsewhere, well, there'll be some brightness, but only between the showers,

02:07which will be heavy, as I said, zipping through on that fairly brisk wind.

02:11Temperatures again on the mild side.

02:13When the sun pops out between the showers,

02:15we could easily get into the mid to high teens.

02:18But when the showers come along because of that wind,

02:20it will often feel cooler than that.

02:23As we go through Friday evening, the showers will continue to track northwards.

02:27Nowhere immune to them, I don't think.

02:29So bear that in mind if heading out on Friday night.

02:31You can see with the wind circulating around here,

02:33we've got a new area of low pressure situated across Ireland.

02:37That one will control our weather through Friday night.

02:40There's another one down to the southwest,

02:42but there is a little window between the two.

02:44A brief bump in the ice bars,

02:46which suggests much of the south will be looking drier on Saturday

02:50before low pressure returns up from the southwest.

02:53So if we rewind the clock and run that sequence again,

02:58focusing where our winds are coming from,

03:00they're continually coming in from the southwest.

03:02So always drawing up that warmer air as we go through the weekend

03:06and probably beyond into next week as well.

03:09So the weekend won't be cold.

03:11It's going to be pretty mild through this weekend.

03:14But with those low pressure systems nearby,

03:16there are going to be showers around.

03:18So that little window suggesting much of the south will be dry on Saturday,

03:23but showers everywhere on Sunday.

03:25As I said, it's going to be mild both by day and by night.

03:28A full detailed weekend forecast will be available on our YouTube channels

03:32by Thursday afternoon.

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