BetQL Boost of the Day: Insights on TNF Bills Vs. Dolphins

BetMGM Network

BetQL betting experts weigh in on where you should place your money on tonight's NFL game

Transcript

00:00Welcome to the BetQL Daily Boost.

00:05I'm Lucy Burge of BetQL and I'm joined by Matt Horner and we have a Thursday Night Football

00:11Odds Boost for all of you today for Bills and Dolphins.

00:14This is on Tyreek Hill to have over seven and a half receptions and a touchdown boosted

00:19to plus 275 at Caesars.

00:20What do you think of this one, Matt?

00:23Yeah, I don't mind this at all.

00:25I think we might see a higher scoring game and that is due to the fact that everybody,

00:30once again I gave this explanation for the 49ers and the Jets, everybody is betting the

00:34under in this game.

00:35At least according to the latest betting splits, 64% of the bets and 79% of the money is on

00:42the under in this game.

00:43So I think it's going to be a lower scoring game.

00:46I think it could be higher scoring.

00:47So yeah, if you want to give me this type of odds for Tyreek, I'll sprinkle that.

00:52Love that.

00:53So if you want to get this Odds Boost plus 275 at Caesars and take advantage of our offer

00:57from BetMGM, bet $10, get up to $1,500 back in bonus bets if your first bet does not hit

01:04by entering code Lucy when you sign up for a new BetMGM account now and head to BetQL.com

01:10and check out our exclusive sports book offers there as well, but also Odyssey.com slash

01:14BetQL for everything that you need to bet on Thursday Night Football and everything

01:18else the NFL season.

01:20So get in on that as well at Odyssey.com slash BetQL and of course, follow us on Twitter

01:25at sharp underscore side underscore and at Lucille Burge favorite bets for today.

01:30I'm sticking with Thursday Night Football and I am taking the Dolphins money line after

01:35a great careful consideration, I just went back and forth and I actually typed out analysis

01:40for like Bill's money and I was like, no, no, no.

01:43My gut is moving toward Dolphins money line because Josh Allen is 10 and two straight

01:48up in his career against the Dolphins, but he's got this hand injury that it could be

01:54worse than they're letting on.

01:57It could be better than they're letting on.

01:59I just, it's too much of a question in my mind to think that maybe it could be, it could

02:04irritate him throughout the game.

02:06It can be an annoyance.

02:07It could hinder his performance.

02:09This game also will be in Miami.

02:11The Miami heat can be brutal.

02:13The humidity can be brutal.

02:14The bills do are, they are used to playing in Buffalo where the humidity and heat aren't

02:19so much of a factor generally.

02:22And so I think that favors Miami in this situation.

02:24And last week, two is still through for 338 yards against the Jaguars.

02:28They almost didn't win that game, but that he's still through for many, many yards.

02:34So I think that a lot of factors led me to take Dolphins money line in this.

02:41There you go.

02:42Sometimes you just got that gut feeling.

02:43It just happens.

02:44And a lot of times, Hey, you can come up with the win.

02:47Uh, I am going to go, like I just said, I'm going to take the over in this game mostly

02:51because when I do my betting, especially for football, I bet numbers and I don't bet teams

02:57or players.

02:58It's when it comes to football, I just love fading the public and everybody loves the

03:03under in this game.

03:04At least according to the latest betting splits, haven't got any updated splits this morning.

03:08Of course, I want to get some closer to game time to see where the money and the tickets

03:12are going.

03:13But the latest splits are telling me the over is going to be the move 64% of the bed, 79%

03:17of the money on the under, as I just said, uh, in the first segment there, take a look

03:21at the spread and the money line for this game, the spread.

03:25Everybody seems to be on the dolphins on the spread 55% of the bets, 65% of the money or

03:31on the dolphin spread, but on the money line, it's a different story.

03:34Very weird.

03:3565% of the bets and 56% of the money is on the bills as a slight underdog.

03:40So what that tells me at least leads me to believe is that the sports books, they're

03:44going to want the bills to cover this game, but they're going to want the dolphins to

03:47win the game, which is good news for you, obviously with the, uh, with the dolphins

03:50money line there.

03:51Uh, so what I like to do in these situations is I like to bet one, I'll bet the over just

03:56as a straight bet, but when you have one side favoring the spread and one side favoring

04:01the money line, I'll probably, if, if things stay lined up this way, I'll do what I did

04:06with the chiefs and the Ravens, I'll put dolphins money line, and then I'll add a teaser

04:11for the Buffalo bills up to eight and a half, or if it gets to three up to nine.

04:15Uh, so I'll have bills plus nine and the dolphins money line in a teaser play, uh, which gives

04:20me a lot of good value there.

04:22That'll probably be like plus one 50 plus one 60 or so.

04:25And it's exactly what the sports books might need for the game.

04:27So I'll probably have something like that.

04:29And I'll probably bet the over for this game.

04:31I like that a lot.

04:32And instead of the spread, I looked at this, I thought the dolphins could win by one still.

04:36So money line just feels like the way to go for me.

04:38So that this look at all of this very much in sync, uh, for today for the sods boost

04:43and all of our, our bets for today, which is very exciting Thursday night football.

04:47I'm excited for this game to powerhouses in the AFC East going at it.

04:52So very, uh, interesting stuff going on here.

04:54So get in on the Zod's boost plus two 75 at Caesars and subscribe to the Beck QL daily

04:59boost wherever you get.

05:00Your podcast.

Category

Transcript

Recommended