US Open Best Bets: Favorites, Predictions, Insights

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00:00There are many things that you can categorize our producer Joe

00:08Frizzo here on the early line as a producer extraordinaire, the

00:13stat man, a witty guy. How about a tennis aficionado that joins

00:17us here bright and early on this Monday on the opening day of

00:21action at the final Grand Slam this year in tennis at the US

00:25Open. Frizzo, happy to have you here on this Monday on the early

00:29line. Happy to be on. I mean, people were saying, I know Donny

00:32told me before the show, why is this a 924, not 824? We moved it

00:36back up to the right in the middle of the show or where I

00:38belong.

00:40I mean, almost listen, almost, almost got rid of seven and

00:44seven just to do this segment to lead off today. But we got to

00:47get you ready for the final Grand Slam up in Flushing.

00:51Frizzo, let's start on the men's side. Carlos Alcaraz has won the

00:55last two Grand Slam titles at the French Open on the clay and

00:59at Wimbledon earlier this summer. He enters as the

01:02favorite at a short two to one price. He did lose the Novak

01:06Djokovic over in the Paris Olympic Games. Djokovic taken

01:10home the first gold medal of his career to add to the golden

01:14Grand Slam. Now that is complete and Alcaraz did lose in his first

01:19match in Cincinnati in the tune up event here for the United

01:23States Open. Where do you think Carlos Alcaraz is entering the

01:27tournament up in Queens?

01:29He's got to be the favorite. I mean, he is the favorite. He's

01:31the rightful favorite, in my opinion. He's my personal pick.

01:34He has actually had, I think the US Open has been his best Grand

01:37Slam. He made the quarterfinals on his debut at 18 years old. He

01:42made obviously, or he won the title in 2022, last year made

01:45the semifinals. And just his performance in best of five

01:48matches has been what sets him apart. He is since he won that

01:51Grand Slam for the first time in 2022, 42 and three. So that's

01:54why I give him the edge. He is my favorite for sure. Djokovic

01:58obviously got the easier half of the draw, which is the

02:00concern for Alcaraz. He would have to beat either Medvedev or

02:02Sinner before beat Djokovic in the final. But yeah, I think

02:05he's a rightful favorite at the top. He is my pick. I've been

02:07burned by Djokovic as you well know, you know, over and over

02:10this year. I'm not doing this this tournament. I'm going

02:12Alcaraz to beat Djokovic in the final.

02:15Joe, we take a look at the top three listed odds wise here at

02:17the FanDuel Sportsbook. Alcaraz, Djokovic and Sinner. Then you

02:20have Zverev, Medvedev and Rublev. Talk about an American

02:23tennis player, Taylor Fritz, 60 to one to win this competition.

02:27Can we at least get American maybe into the semifinals or the

02:30quarterfinals? And what's the options here for some of the

02:32American guys here?

02:34Yeah, so Taylor Fritz is for sure the best American player in

02:38terms of the odds. But I mean, you have a bunch of depth there.

02:41Francis Tiafoe, Ben Shelton, they will likely play in round

02:44three. The winner would play Djokovic most likely, which

02:46would be an incredible match. I like Ben Shelton as a sleeper.

02:48Djokovic is hurt. You never know. I think Shelton could

02:51actually be the guy that gets hot. The conditions can favor

02:53him. There is a bet on FanDuel I saw two Americans in the

02:56semifinals. I believe on FanDuel, there's no gender

02:59attached to this. It looks like it's men's or women's just get

03:02two of the eight semifinals at plus 650. I actually like that a

03:05lot. Most likely to come from the women's side. But on the

03:07men's side, this is the best chance we've had. There has not

03:10been an American man to win the US Open since 2003. Not an

03:13American man to win the Grand Slam since the 2003 US Open and

03:16Andy Roddick. So Tommy Paul, I like he could play center in

03:19round four. Shelton, Tiafoe and Fritz is obviously the best

03:22chance there for sure.

03:23The stat man and the tennis aficionado delivering both right

03:27then and there. Frieza, let's go to the women's draw, whereas it

03:31might feel a little bit more up in the air over at the US Open.

03:35The defending champ, an American in Coco Gauff, but she's got the

03:38fourth best number now at 12 to 1, followed by another American

03:42rounding out the top five and Jessica Bagula at 14 to 1. The

03:45favorite, Irina Sabalenka at a plus 210 number. What are your

03:49thoughts about the women's draw for the US Open?

03:53So the women's tournament obviously is open, usually more

03:55open than the men's side for sure. But it's especially been

03:57the case at the US Open. Five of the last seven US Open women's

04:01champions have been first time Grand Slam winners. That's why

04:04I'm going with Mira Andreeva as my as my favorite to win the

04:06title. Someone off the board, not off the board, she has the

04:09sixth best odds, but 17 years old, performed well in Paris,

04:12beat Sabalenka there, almost beat Iga in Cincinnati last

04:15week. I like her. Talking about the top of the tournament, Coco

04:18has really, really struggled this year. Obviously, the

04:20letdown in Paris, she was one and two in Cincinnati and

04:23Canada. So really not the form you want for the defending

04:25champ. Sabalenka is the rightful favorite. She's the best

04:28hardcore player in the world. And then Iga has won this

04:30tournament before. I would really lean towards, you know,

04:33Sabalenka as the favorite. I think Svantek's got a chance,

04:36but I'm going to go with Andreeva to be my kind of

04:39sleeper, dark horse, you know, 21 to 1 champion.

04:42Andreeva 21 to 1 right there. You saw Joe Frizzo's US Open

04:47watchlist. Let's flash it up once again, so we can go

04:50through the picks. Frizzo, take us through quickly here, all of

04:52these selections.

04:54Alcarez to win the title over Djokovic. I like that. That will

04:57be a stiff Grand Slam. Andreeva, as I mentioned, to win the

04:59women's title. Shelton is a sleeper. I think he could get

05:02hot. Maybe the draw opens up. Diane Schneider, I like her.

05:05She's actually had a very nice season this year. And then

05:08today, Chris Eubanks to win his match, some plus money, a plus

05:11126 in the first round.

05:13The tall, lanky American Christopher Eubanks. Joe Frizzo,

05:17thank you so much. Are you counting us out? No, that's

05:20Matt, our director here on this Monday. Frizzo, thank you very

05:24much. More on the early line next.

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