Looking ahead to tropical activity and Midwest severe weather

AccuWeather

AccuWeather's Joe Lundberg looks ahead to next week, when potential tropical activity may brew from the Atlantic in addition to severe weather in the Midwest and extreme heat for the Rockies.

Transcript

00:00And I think, Joe, the distinction was important because that area you circled in the Appalachians,

00:06they missed out on a lot of the heavier rain, didn't they?

00:08Yeah, the eastern Carolinas got quite a bit burny and it was also in the last couple of days some

00:12very heavy rain for parts of south and east Texas. So that was one of the forecasts that really worked

00:17out fairly well. What about the coming week? What are the things that we're most interested

00:21or most concerned about weather-wise? Well, these are the three things to know about.

00:24Severe weather threat's going to rear its ugly head, I think, from the Midwest to the Ohio Valley

00:28on at least a couple of occasions. We'll explain how and why in a moment.

00:32More heat for the Rockies. Looks like the upper level ridge reestablishes itself and the heat's

00:36going to build as the week progresses. And we're going to keep an eye on the tropics

00:40and we'll explain that, too. Yeah, we have that tropical wave,

00:44Joe, that's moving offshore. And the concern we have, this is going to be tracking eastward

00:50over the next week to 10 days. It's got some hurdles to clear. If it clears those hurdles,

00:57then we could be looking at something a week from now. But let's take it one step at a time.

01:01Yeah, I mean, the first hurdle is obviously the dry Saharan dust, the air that is going to choke

01:06its development for the next several days. So the first part of next week is it goes westward at a

01:11pretty good speed. There's going to be much to do about nothing with the system. It's later in the

01:16week. We get to Wednesday and Thursday as it gets closer to the Leeward Islands and beyond. That's

01:21where some of that dust will finally start to move away from it. And the upper level conditions

01:25become more favorable for development. But there's still, you know, it's a low percentage

01:30chance even at that point in time. All right, Joe, let's talk about the pattern across the

01:34country next week. Yeah, next week, I think the big upper level ridge is going to reestablish

01:38itself with time toward the Four Corners area. Early in the week, you're going to have some

01:42relatively cool air in the west and there may be some gusty winds are going to help to

01:48expand these fires. Unfortunately, that's that's the bad news. But over the top of this ridge,

01:52one disturbance and another disturbance will come through from the north and west.

01:56I think one day in this area, you're at a risk for some severe weather. Then there may be another

02:00one Wednesday night into Thursday, and some of that moisture will work its way into the eastern

02:04seaboard with time. Here's the concern that we're talking about. Again, a couple of rounds of

02:08thunderstorms with them, a threat for damaging winds, flash flooding, even a tornado risk. And

02:13that extends really from the eastern Dakotas and Minnesota, even as far south as, say,

02:17St. Louis and Cape Girardeau. Action with a long range expert, Joe Lumberg. Joe, thanks for joining

02:22us.

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