Beryl not expected to impact New Orleans directly

AccuWeather

AccuWeather's Bernie Rayno and Jon Porter continue to monitor Hurricane Beryl's track across the Caribbean. Areas from New Orleans to the Florida Panhandle will not be directly impacted by the storm.

Transcript

00:00A couple of days ago, it was back on Monday that when we were talking about Barrow, we

00:04cleared Florida and we also cleared the east coast of the United States.

00:09We have another call to make here right now.

00:12That's right, Bernie.

00:13It's very important here at AccuWeather.

00:14We want to tell you where the threat areas are, but also the areas where we're not expecting

00:19direct rain, wind and other impacts.

00:22And that is going to be now New Orleans, Louisiana, eastbound, all the way to the Florida Panhandle.

00:29We had mentioned this is a low risk area here over the last couple of days.

00:32We're now clearing that from direct rain and wind impacts from Barrow.

00:36So again, New Orleans, eastbound, all the way through the Florida Peninsula and up the

00:39east coast of the United States, we're not a very, virtually no risk of direct impacts

00:44in those areas.

00:45We made some tweaks to the AccuWeather eyepath here in the last hour or so, John.

00:50That is correct.

00:51We continue to be concerned about the storm slowing down once it passes the Yucatan Peninsula

00:57of Mexico, emerges into the southern Gulf of Mexico, slows down, and then we're increasingly

01:03concerned about rain and wind impacts across south Texas.

01:07That's a theme that we've been talking about here at AccuWeather ahead of all other sources.

01:11Let's talk about the risk, especially along the Texas coast, pertaining to direct impacts

01:17from Barrow, and that would be wind and rain, John.

01:20That's right.

01:21It would be still several days out.

01:22I want to point that out.

01:23It's Saturday through Tuesday that we have that concern.

01:26This is going to be a different storm.

01:28It's going to be, as we mentioned, a slow-moving storm, likely a strong tropical storm or Category

01:341 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson wind scale across the southern Gulf of Mexico.

01:38We have the probabilities, though, from Corpus Christi to Brownsville of 60 to 80% chance

01:43of rain and wind.

01:44We're talking about the risk for flooding rainfall in that area, and still the risk

01:48of 20 to 40% risk here across parts of the southeast Texas Gulf Coast, Galveston, Houston

01:56area, Port Arthur, in terms of there can be some rain and wind impacts there as well.

02:01As far as the change, John, listen, there really hasn't been much change.

02:04Again, we're clearing that area from New Orleans to Pensacola, but really we've been pretty

02:09steadfast on this graphic over the last few days that we feel pretty confident there's

02:14going to be at least a good probability or a higher probability of at least some impacts

02:20along the lower Texas coast.

02:22That's right, and that's why we've continued to keep the same risk trend there.

02:26This is an exclusive AccuWeather tool to show you that we're not talking about any,

02:30we're not expecting any change to the risk there over the last 24 hours in terms of our

02:33forecast thinking.

02:35The risk level has increased from Brownsville southward, as we've been talking about, and

02:39then the area from New Orleans eastbound, we've joined that to the other areas that

02:43we've cleared from direct impact.

02:44So those have been the changes.

02:46We keep updating this here at AccuWeather, you can get this graphic on AccuWeather.com

02:49as well.

02:50Frequently check back with it so you can get our latest thinking.

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