Analyzing Super Bowl: Mahomes vs. Purdy & Winning Strategies

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00:00 (upbeat music)

00:03 - So, when we come back, we'll be talking about

00:06 this Super Bowl matchup because we talked a lot about,

00:08 well, what can Mahomes do?

00:09 What can Purdy, what can the coaches do?

00:11 We'll really dive in on what Patrick Mahomes can do

00:14 versus his 49ers defense and what Brock Purdy can do

00:17 against this Chiefs defense.

00:19 It's just, obviously, they're connected to

00:21 how this game will be dictated.

00:23 How much will it be dictated?

00:25 We can lay it out all we want,

00:27 but there's always going to be a break,

00:29 a fumble, an interception, a special team's play

00:32 that don't account for coaching mistakes,

00:34 but these teams are disciplined.

00:36 What types of penalties will be called?

00:38 We talk about officiating a lot,

00:39 and I think a big part of what we talk about

00:42 with officiating is how tight is this game

00:44 going to be called?

00:46 These Chiefs corners, these Niners corners.

00:49 Avery Thomas got called for a lot of penalties

00:51 in this playoff run for the Niners.

00:54 Does that play a factor again

00:56 when we're talking about Rasheed Rice,

00:58 Patrick Mahomes trying to take shots downfield?

01:01 These chunk plays via penalty can be part of a strategy

01:05 as teams get this far into the season

01:09 when you get desperate, right?

01:10 The Niners actually got desperate

01:12 in the NFC Championship game,

01:13 and a bounce off the helmet from a defensive back

01:16 lands in the hands of Brandon Iuk

01:17 and leads to a touchdown

01:19 that completely turned around the game.

01:20 So, when we come back,

01:22 it's a Patrick Mahomes comparison

01:24 to a Brock Purdy comparison.

01:25 I will take a look at their props.

01:28 What, who is more likely to hit their player props,

01:32 passing yards, passing touchdowns,

01:35 passing attempts a bigger part of how this scheme will look.

01:39 So, when we come back, I'll be doing that.

01:41 Then Donnie Wrightside right after that

01:43 to talk Super Bowl MVPs live

01:45 from the Betam GM Sportsbook here in Las Vegas.

01:47 (upbeat music)

01:57 - If you're going to say, yes, of course,

01:59 the playoffs started and now the Chiefs

02:00 are the best team in the league, fine.

02:03 I think that's wrong.

02:05 And I think it is going to be close to impossible

02:08 for the Chiefs to now play their,

02:11 for the third week in a row,

02:12 their best game of the season.

02:14 - Travis Kelsey has put back-to-back games together

02:17 for the first time all season long, and he's the go-to.

02:20 - Pro football today, only on Sports Grid.

02:26 (upbeat music)

02:28 - Don't want any distractions.

02:30 And Vinny, on the eve of these teams getting to Las Vegas,

02:34 we got a distraction.

02:36 - We know that there's some family issues,

02:39 not only with his dad there,

02:40 but his brother has had a lot of run-ins here

02:43 that have not looked good for the quarterback.

02:46 But again, he's a different guy.

02:48 I think we've understood that.

02:49 - Newswire, only on Sports Grid.

02:53 (upbeat music)

02:56 - Jordan Clarkson.

02:59 Jordan Clarkson is a walking bucket.

03:04 He will shoot you in games, he will shoot you out of games.

03:08 But he is the perfect sixth man

03:12 for a team looking for bench production.

03:17 A guy that can go get his own shot.

03:20 - Betting above the rim, only on Sports Grid.

03:24 (upbeat music)

03:27 - The fact that they're gonna try to run Pacheco

03:30 down San Francisco's throat,

03:32 as much as McCaffrey's gonna get the ball for San Francisco,

03:36 I think both of them will play well.

03:39 - I think if the Niners win this game, Scotty,

03:41 I think McCaffrey is the guy.

03:43 I think he has a monster game for the Niners to win that.

03:46 I think it's gonna have his fingerprints all over it.

03:49 If it does happen.

03:50 - Pharrell coast to coast, only on Sports Grid.

03:55 It's smarter to be on Sports Grid.

04:00 Your 24/7 sports wagering network.

04:04 - Well, look at the hype and the early line.

04:06 - And what it all means, individual success.

04:09 - You should have tried to get something

04:10 for Anthony Rendon, not fought at this deadline.

04:13 - Newswire.

04:13 - We're getting a lot of news, trades, cuts,

04:16 and some movement in terms of starting quarterbacks.

04:18 - Pharrell coast to coast.

04:20 - I wanna watch great players make buckets and win games.

04:23 - Game time decisions.

04:25 - You have no idea what the heck the Blazers are doing

04:29 and what they're doing.

04:29 - In game live, prime time.

04:32 - Just put them yard for a grand slam.

04:35 - The bottom of the fourth inning

04:36 in a 12 to two baseball game.

04:38 We got football scores going on at Wrigley right now.

04:41 - Sports Ring late night.

04:42 - That was good betting.

04:42 We waited for one and a half, we got paid.

04:44 - Yeah.

04:45 - Didn't like the two and a half, jumped on it.

04:47 - Don't take it weeks off in golf betting, ever.

04:49 These are the best weeks to bet.

04:52 - It's smarter to be on Sports Grid.

04:55 (upbeat music)

04:58 (upbeat music)

05:01 - Back at the Bet MGM Sportsbook,

05:20 Mike Blewett here with you all week.

05:23 Sports Grid Live from Las Vegas.

05:25 We'll have Donnie Rightside coming on in the next segment.

05:27 But what we want to talk about right now

05:29 is the quarterback comparisons.

05:30 How did they get here?

05:31 What do these stats look like?

05:32 Brock Purdy's regular season stats, 4,280 yards,

05:36 a 69% completion percentage,

05:39 31 touchdowns to 11 interceptions.

05:42 A tremendous season that found him

05:44 right in the thick of the MVP discussion.

05:46 Probably going the way of Lamar Jackson,

05:48 but Brock Purdy put himself in position

05:50 to win that award this season.

05:51 Incredible second year season.

05:53 I hate calling him Mr. Irrelevant.

05:55 I know people like that.

05:56 I find it disrespectful for a guy that nearly won the MVP

06:00 and finds himself as a starter on a Super Bowl,

06:02 a potential Super Bowl champion.

06:04 So his playoff stats, 519 yards completion percentage, 61%.

06:09 Playing against better defenses, yes,

06:12 but the 69 to 61% dip,

06:15 was that impacted solely by the weather

06:17 that we saw against Green Bay?

06:19 Weather not a factor here.

06:21 Good thing for Brock Purdy.

06:22 You remember the two gloves, no glove,

06:24 what's happening in the rain in Brock

06:26 was a little ineffective early on in that game.

06:29 So two touchdowns to one pick so far in their two games.

06:34 In his career, five playoff games over a thousand yards,

06:37 63% completion percentage,

06:39 five touchdowns to one interception.

06:42 I think though, I have to be honest

06:44 about my thoughts about Brock Purdy.

06:46 I'm rooting for the guy.

06:47 I love the story.

06:48 For years here, I've covered college football

06:52 and pro football for SportsGrid.

06:55 And I remember Joe Lisi, our buddy on college football

06:58 and pro football today,

07:00 we were there for Brock Purdy's big breakout season

07:02 at Iowa State and he and Brees Hall were humming.

07:05 It was a great story to follow.

07:07 The Cyclones were a fun team to follow

07:09 and to see him now in this position,

07:11 I never would have predicted that,

07:13 but it's great to see him in this position.

07:15 But what are his player props look like

07:18 for this upcoming week?

07:19 Well, right now, Bet MGM Sportsbook,

07:22 it's a handy dandy sheet.

07:24 Total right now, total yardage, 245 and a half,

07:27 total passing touchdowns, one and a half,

07:30 minus 125 to the over.

07:33 Interceptions, a half, again, minus 115.

07:36 So expectations even, like, does he not throw one?

07:39 Does he throw one?

07:40 Obviously this is a team that relies heavily

07:43 on their running backs.

07:43 So how many passing attempts do you see from Brock Purdy?

07:46 Which that line is set at 31 and a half.

07:49 His rushing yards, which Brock Purdy,

07:51 probably the single most valuable part of his game

07:54 against the Lions, not something we're expecting to see,

07:57 over 50 yards rushing for Brock Purdy

07:59 in the NFC Championship game.

08:01 So there's your lines, that's what you're looking at.

08:04 I think the only way you're getting over

08:05 on the Brock Purdy passing attempts

08:07 is if they're trailing by a significant amount.

08:10 I don't think the Niners like to get thrown off their game.

08:13 They absolutely like to play from in front,

08:15 but you'd have to be in a serious position

08:17 for the Niners to be throwing that many times,

08:21 a 10-point deficit, potentially.

08:24 The Niners are down seven points, it's not panic time.

08:26 They can run their way back into it

08:28 with arguably the best running back in the league.

08:31 But I have to be honest about my thoughts now

08:33 about Brock Purdy.

08:34 Like I said, I'm rooting for him,

08:37 but all the questions that I had about the Niners

08:41 going into this season were related to Brock Purdy.

08:45 I thought the roster was good enough.

08:46 I thought they were certainly clearly good enough

08:48 to win the NFC and overtake the Eagles,

08:51 but it's about these pressure-filled games.

08:54 He has proven that he can pull it off,

08:57 but in the biggest game with the biggest spotlight,

09:00 he's passed the test so far,

09:02 but can he do it against his Steve Spagnuolo defense

09:07 that will throw every single thing at him?

09:09 I think he'll always have that question,

09:11 as will Kyle Shanahan, hanging over his head

09:14 until he's holding up that Lombardi trophy.

09:16 I absolutely think it's a possibility, but it's still.

09:20 Brock Purdy against Patrick Mahomes

09:22 is an important question to ask, and can he outplay him?

09:25 Can he play well enough to complement

09:27 the rest of his offense to win this game?

09:30 I think it's still a question that rattles around in my head.

09:33 (upbeat music)

09:35 (electronic music)

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