The Sharp Report: George Kittle's Prop is Worth a Bet

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00:00 I am a big fan of leaning into George Kittle and taking some of the overs on his props

00:15 this week because I think there's two ways for success.

00:18 Number one, Debo Samuel is not out there or he's out there in a limited capacity.

00:23 When Debo Samuel is not on the field, George Kittle is targeted on 23% of routes run.

00:29 It's actually a higher rate than Brandon Iuke.

00:31 And so I think George Kittle is going to get some of that workload.

00:34 Now he's not going to get that wide receiver one workload.

00:37 That's going to go to Brandon Iuke.

00:38 He's in for a good game as well.

00:40 But George Kittle, who's got a lower receiving prop, I think he's going to get a lot of the

00:44 work because of the absence of Debo Samuel.

00:47 And then in addition, you've got the other way with even if Debo's out there, this is

00:51 still in our favor.

00:53 And that is that this Detroit Lions defense is terrible against tight ends.

00:57 They actually rank one of the 10th worst teams in yards per attempt allowed to tight end

01:02 targets.

01:03 They've struggled mightily against tight ends and they haven't really even played any good

01:07 tight ends.

01:08 They allowed a decent game to Cade Autin last week after he went off the week before.

01:12 They should have been tuned up to try to slow down Cade Autin.

01:14 He still was able to have a lot of success last week.

01:17 And that's Cade Autin we're talking about, not George Kittle.

01:20 There's only been two tight end ones that this defense has faced all year and they struggled

01:25 in those games.

01:26 They allowed two touchdowns to Mark Andrews and they allowed Cole Komet to go for 66 yards

01:32 on five catches.

01:34 I think those are the two best tight ends that this team has played.

01:37 They're going to be in for a world of hurt when they go up against George Kittle.