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Oregon State Vs. Washington: Betting Trends and Matchup Analysis
SportsGrid
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11/18/2023
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00:00
was a two and a half point favorite, Joe, earlier in the week. As we get ready for our CFT game of
00:04
the week on this Saturday, it's a one and a half point line in favor of the Beeves. Joe, do you
00:10
agree with where the market is moving, placing Oregon State as the favored side in this match?
00:15
I actually don't. I like Washington in terms of this matchup, but I understand the market
00:20
fluctuation because of how dominant Oregon State has been over the past three seasons at home. We
00:25
mentioned over the past two seasons, 10 and 1 straight up, guys. They're 4 and 0 against FBS
00:30
opponents. This season have won those games by an average margin of victory of 22 points per game.
00:36
Dominated San Diego State earlier in the year, dominated teams like UCLA and got covers. So that
00:42
is why you're seeing the market movement. It is a contrast in styles, though. We have Damian
00:47
Martinez and a ground-to-pound rushing attack that's averaging right around 200 yards on the
00:52
ground. And then a team in terms of Washington, Kev, that wants to push tempo with Michael Pinnock's
00:57
398 yards through the air. That is the matchup which should play out. I mentioned Washington
01:03
has won nine of the last 10. They won last year, very low scoring game, 24 to 21. I feel Washington
01:10
has the better quarterback. They have the better offense. And that's why I think they strike the
01:14
mild upset tonight. Which again is why betting is so important to the conversation, that you just
01:21
accurately said Washington, the fifth team in the country who was unbeaten, would be pulling off a
01:26
mild upset here. This is a probably unnecessary point to make, but I truly cannot stand that
01:32
later on if Oregon State wins this game, people will say, "Beeves, stun Huskies, for the love of
01:38
God, download a sports book and pay attention to what's going on." But you're all tuned in,
01:42
so that means you understand what's going on. And the thing is, now I know this doesn't ever
01:48
bother you, but you don't have to be doing this for any type of length of time to see a line like
01:52
that and be like, "Oh, okay, Oregon State wins." That's just usually how these games go, especially
01:58
with it being in Corvallis. Oregon State has been untouchable in this arena for a very long time,
02:03
specifically against the number. So now to be booked as a favorite is a phenomenal sign
02:08
for Oregon State here. I'm going to play a team total on Washington at 30 and a half. It's a
02:13
number they've hit in nine out of 10 games, all of their road matchups as well. Oregon State,
02:19
with their rush attack, could get into the 40s. If this game goes wild, maybe 50s. We've seen
02:24
Bonkers' performances last week, a 62-piece on Stanford. Washington's defense is not that great.
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