00:00Well joining us right now is lead hurricane expert Alex Da Silva. Thanks again for joining us this morning. We've got a lot to cover because the map has suddenly added, I think you were calling it a bunch of fruit. Looks like a mixed bowl of fruit here.
00:14Yeah, it certainly does. Look at all the different colors on the map here. We have some yellows, we have some oranges, we have some reds all over the Atlantic Basin here. You know, this is just a sign that the tropics are really beginning to heat up here. And that's to be expected as we move into the month of August and, you know, approaching the statistical peak of the hurricane season, which is at the beginning of September. So we do expect things to get busy here. Area off the east coast and then tracking a couple of tropical waves beginning to come off the coast as well.
00:41Yeah, we'll start with that area off the east coast, which right now does have some chance of development. We have that medium chance of development on it.
00:49Yeah, a couple of days ago it looked like that this was actually going to develop and push inland across either South Carolina or North Carolina and bring a lot of rain to those areas. The good news is things have trended a little bit more offshore. And so even if it develops here over the next day or so, it's likely to push away from the coast. Still could see some heavy rain along the north and South Carolina coastlines.
01:08But it looks like we've avoided potentially a really big flooding situation. Looks like most of that moisture should stay offshore.
01:16Some good news there. They're still helping to keep those rip currents pretty rough. And of course, again, as you mentioned, a lot of the rainfall likely staying offshore with this.
01:25Yeah, indeed. And I think most of it will be towards that North Carolina coastline. Again, a couple of days ago, it looked like it was going to be a little bit closer.
01:32But the trend has been our friend in this case. And it looks like it's going to stay a little bit more offshore. Still going to be seeing some heavy downpours, I think.
01:39But, you know, it doesn't look as widespread as it looked like maybe a couple of days ago.
01:44All right. So let's venture back into the Central Atlantic where we are tracking tropical waves.
01:48We're now getting into the season where we should be tracking in these tropical waves.
01:52Exactly. You have the first one kind of in the middle of that main development region right there.
01:56The good news is that one looks like it's going to be turning out to sea.
02:00A couple of days ago, it looked like it could be a little further west.
02:02But there's going to be a little bit of a weakness in the Bermuda high that will allow that to turn out to sea.
02:07The next one, however, getting ready to emerge off Africa over the next day or so, that one could be a little bit more of a concern.
02:13Again, we have plenty of time to watch these.
02:15But there are signs that that one could make it a little bit further to the west across the basin.
02:21And you talk about the Bermuda high.
02:23How does that all come into play with these types of storms?
02:25Yeah, throughout the season, this Bermuda high, which sits out across the Atlantic, you know, it grows, it shrinks, it moves west, it moves east throughout the season.
02:32It's very variable.
02:34Right now, at least impacting that first tropical wave, it's going to be a little bit on the weaker side.
02:39There's going to be a little bit of a weakness in it.
02:40And that's going to luckily allow that area to turn out and away from the United States.
02:45Then it looks like next week that Bermuda high might build a little bit further to the west, possibly preventing that escape route for that next tropical wave.
02:54Again, we have plenty of time to watch this.
02:56The Bermuda high can change, you know, many times during the course of a week.
03:00And so, you know, what trends we're seeing now might be totally different than what we see maybe over this weekend.
03:05But for right now, it looks like that that first wave probably turns out to sea.
03:08But that second wave, that one, I think, is going to be the one to watch.
03:12Mariaki weather lead hurricane expert Alex De Silva.
