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'Voters Are Split' On The Big Beautiful Bill, New Poll Shows: Dritan Nesho
Forbes Breaking News
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yesterday
On "Forbes Newsroom," HarrisX Founder and CEO Dritan Nesho discussed voters' attitudes on the Big Beautiful Bill.
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00:00
And President Trump, he touted his big, beautiful bill, and he had a goal to get that to his desk
00:07
by July 4th. And that seems like a tall task at this time. It almost seemed impossible for
00:12
Republicans to do, but they did do it. And he signed it into law. It was nearly a thousand
00:17
pages and it contains his signature tax and immigration policies. What do Americans think
00:22
about the one big, beautiful bill act? Well, the mark, the administration didn't do a very good
00:30
job marketing the big, beautiful bill. And it was labeled by the Democrats and by Elon Musk and by
00:39
other parties, the big, ugly bill faster than they could tout the advantages of the bill. So it's no
00:47
surprise that voters are split when it comes to the bill. 44% supported, 44% opposed, 12% haven't
00:56
really made up their mind. What's interesting about the bill, though, is most of the individual
01:01
elements of the bill receive very, very strong support. Very few of those elements actually
01:10
voters view negatively. And I think that important in the administration's economic strategy has
01:21
to be a selling of the big, beautiful bill on the back end, making sure that voters understand
01:29
the benefits that they're getting from this bill so that the administration isn't left holding
01:35
the back for all the negative connotation that the bill has been wrapped around. So I wish
01:43
I had something important other than the picture is still split. But, you know, on the all important
01:51
question, will this bill make the economy better or worse? Voters, again, are split. 52% say
01:58
worse. 48% say we'll improve the economy. So again, lots of work to be done on the economic
02:05
front by the administration. Some of the more controversial parts of this bill in the
02:10
conversations I've had with lawmakers and strategists were that changes to Medicaid could leave millions
02:16
of Americans uninsured over the next decade, and that this could add trillions of dollars to the
02:22
national deficit. What do voters make of that? Were they concerned about those elements of this bill
02:27
as well? So in general, any conversation around Medicare and Medicaid and Social Security, voters
02:37
are leery towards. And these two items, which, you know, they also happen to be the largest contributors
02:45
to the federal budget deficit, remain the third rail of American politics. But actually, what we see
02:54
here is that on the issue of imposing work requirement for Medicaid for adults with dependent children
03:02
over 14, the picture is split. 51% supported, about, I would say, 36%, a little bit more, are against it,
03:14
and 12% are undecided. So not one of the overwhelmingly popular items within the bill,
03:21
but also not one of the worst. Some of the ones that voters didn't really like were imposing a 5% tax
03:29
on remittances sent abroad. There's obviously a lot of immigrants in the United States, and they don't
03:35
agree with that. There's a lot of confusion around the SALT deduction cap, which really raises the cap
03:42
to $40,000 for taxpayers under $500,000, and then reverts back after a number of years.
03:50
That's split picture within the data, and so on and so forth. So the Medicare and Medicaid issue,
03:59
for sure, it's an issue that voters are sensitive towards. Adding to the federal budget deficit,
04:06
the bill has been painted as a bill that will contribute to the federal budget deficit, so voters
04:11
do not want to see those kinds of actions or steps. But as presented on an individual basis,
04:17
line by line, actually, even the more controversial elements of the bill, voters are split around
04:24
them, which suggests that with a push and a strong and consistent marketing effort, the administration
04:32
might be able to win voters over the big, beautiful bill.
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