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49ers Favored Overthe Rams in NFC West: An Analysis
SportsGrid
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yesterday
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00:00
Why are the Niners the favorite in the West, in the NFC, over the Rams?
00:06
To me, the Rams are the better football team.
00:09
Scott, this is not only that.
00:11
This is what's done.
00:12
I mean, I made sure this is correct.
00:13
I checked a couple books.
00:15
The Niners' win total is 10.5.
00:17
I would have put them at 9.5.
00:19
Brent and I could be ready for a while.
00:20
It's coming back from 2 in ACL.
00:22
They traded Debo Samuel.
00:23
Okay, they traded Jordan Mason, who's one of the better backup running backs in the league.
00:26
They lost Aaron Banks.
00:28
I was one of the starting guards who signed with the Packers.
00:30
They didn't really replace him.
00:32
Now, to win the West, they're plus 160.
00:34
They're still the favorite.
00:36
The over, listen to this, Scott.
00:37
The over 10.5 wins is minus 102.
00:41
The under is minus 118.
00:43
Now, I like the under.
00:44
I don't see them getting 11 wins or more.
00:46
I get it.
00:46
Now, why would the odds makers think they could get over 10.5?
00:51
Robert Sala returns as their defense coordinator.
00:53
That's a really good hire.
00:55
No question about it.
00:56
He did great the first time around.
00:58
As their defensive coordinator.
00:59
Now, Brock Purdy got his contract.
01:01
They're a little bit shaky at receiver.
01:03
And Juwan Jennings, by the way, he wants his new deal.
01:05
Hasn't gotten it yet.
01:06
Got to watch that.
01:07
George Kittle's another year older.
01:09
Great player.
01:09
A lot.
01:10
Big injuries.
01:11
McCaffrey coming off an injury-torn season.
01:14
All sorts of problems with that Achilles.
01:16
And you know about his hamstring problems over the years.
01:18
So you worry about that.
01:19
They're not real strong in the secondary.
01:21
Their secondary is almost going to be completely revamped.
01:23
One of their best corners.
01:25
Chavarri's word sign with the Colts.
01:28
Pufunga.
01:29
One of their safety sign with the Broncos.
01:31
So they've got a lot of change.
01:32
I agree with you, Scott.
01:32
They absolutely should not be the favorite in that division.
01:36
I would agree with you.
01:37
And we'll get the Rams in a minute.
01:39
The Rams, surprisingly, are picked to finish second in that division by the oddsmakers.
01:42
Yeah.
01:42
And they're at nine and a half wins.
01:45
And as I said before, they were on the 20 of the Eagles trying to win that playoff game
01:50
and didn't get it done.
01:51
But they were the closest team to knocking them off.
01:53
They went on to kick everyone's ass, including the Chiefs in the Super Bowl.
01:57
The Eagles, the only one that gave them a game was the Rams.
02:01
Oh, yeah.
02:01
No doubt.
02:02
The Eagles boat raced the Washington.
02:04
The Rams, they almost pulled off that upset in Philly.
02:06
So their win total, you mentioned at nine and a half, the over is minus 150.
02:10
The under is plus 125 to win the West.
02:13
They're plus 185.
02:14
Now, they made the trade for Devontae Adams.
02:17
They're absolutely loaded at tight end with Terrence Ferguson's or sec ran out of Argon.
02:21
They got some issues on the offensive line in the interior.
02:24
There's some questions there.
02:26
Defensively, Michael Height is a really good pass rusher.
02:28
He's signed with Buffalo.
02:30
Their front seven is going to be fine.
02:32
The issue for them is that corner.
02:33
They're pretty weak at the cornerback position.
02:35
But their pass rush with Jared Verse and friends is so good.
02:38
They're really well coached, well-schemed.
02:41
They draft really well and they develop really well.
02:44
They're going to be somewhere around 10 wins for me.
02:46
If I had to go over, if I had to pick one side, it would be over with the Rams there at minus 150.
02:52
But the price is so high there.
02:54
But, yeah, I agree with you.
02:54
I would have the Rams over the Niners to win that division.
02:57
Is it really 17 years now for Stafford?
03:04
No, he was drafted in 2009.
03:06
He was the first picker overall in that 2009 draft for Detroit.
03:09
No, so it wouldn't be 17.
03:10
Yeah, it wouldn't be 17 years.
03:13
It wouldn't be quite 17 years.
03:14
I don't think.
03:14
I could have sworn I saw something today that it was 16, yeah.
03:18
16, it said 17 is 17th year.
03:21
No?
03:22
All right.
03:22
Well, I still think he's a badass and he can still play.
03:27
It's like you got to convince him to play, though.
03:30
Like, you know, you wonder if he's going to stop playing.
03:32
You have to convince him to play, but he's going to play.
03:35
And I think that as long as they have him, they're going to win.
03:37
And with Adams on top of Puka shells, I like their chances.
03:43
What about the Cardinals and the Seahawks?
03:47
Yeah, again, this division, these win totals,
03:51
I know the Cardinals are competitive,
03:52
but the record has not been very good under the Jonathan Gannon.
03:54
But the over eight and a half wins is minus 120.
03:57
The under is plus 100.
03:59
I don't see it.
04:00
Now, their D-line was awful last season.
04:03
So they over-addressed it.
04:05
Walter Nolan, the first round out of Mississippi D-tackle.
04:07
Dalvin Tomlinson's a pretty good, sort of a journeyman,
04:10
but a good defensive tackle.
04:11
Klaas Campbell, come over from the Dolphins.
04:14
The ageless Klaas Campbell, well, in his late 30s.
04:16
Josh Shwek comes over from Philly.
04:19
They lost Dennis Garnack, a self-made player,
04:21
an edge rusher, who signs with Jacksonville.
04:24
Scott, look, how Kyler Murray, let's call it like it is,
04:28
how Kyler Murray plays with Marvin Harrison Jr.
04:30
They didn't hook up a lot last season.
04:31
Marvin Harrison Jr. did not have a good rookie season.
04:34
They've got to get him going.
04:35
Kyler Murray's got to play better.
04:37
To me, they're a seven- or eight-win team.
04:39
I love that under all day at plus 100.
04:43
I don't see it.
04:43
Kyler Murray's got to take his game to the next level.
04:45
He's very inconsistent.
04:47
He's a fun player to watch, but he's got to play better.
04:50
You've got to explain to me, why is the over minus 120?
04:54
It should be the under plus 100.
04:55
Okay.
04:56
So I'll see you next week.
05:10
See you next week.
05:12
Bye.
05:13
Bye.
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