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  • 7/8/2025
Transcript
00:00Tonight, San Francisco sends out Robbie Ray against the Phillies.
00:04Total is eight.
00:06Can we expect another low-scoring affair by the Bay?
00:09If you're a contrarian player, you say,
00:11I'm just going to take the Phillies at a plus-132 price,
00:14I can't fault you for doing that.
00:15But that's just a contrarian look.
00:16But understanding how the Phillies operate on a day-to-day basis,
00:19a left-handed pitcher that usually gets strikeouts,
00:22that's just absolute kryptonite to the Philadelphia Phillies.
00:25You look at their lineup.
00:26Schwarber has been very good against lefties.
00:28Alec Boehm has been very good against lefties.
00:30Castellanos, a little bit of a power surge there.
00:32And then Edmund Sosa has been decent.
00:33The rest of that lineup doesn't do much at all.
00:36So I look at Robbie Ray's last 60 days in Major League Baseball,
00:39an 82 XFIP minus, above average, an ERA of 2.25, an XFIP of 3.30.
00:44Like, I love the Phillies.
00:45And they should be able to hit guys like Robbie Ray,
00:47but they just don't do that.
00:48It's the perfect pitcher's ballpark as well, as we know, out in San Francisco.
00:52And if we're looking at the temperatures, it's cool.
00:5464 degrees at first pitch at, you know, 645 out there on the West Coast.
00:58That'll dip down probably into the high 50s,
01:00normal wind blowing out the center field, as it always does.
01:03And it's not even a handicap against the Phillies.
01:04Like, Tywon Walker's not a good pitcher.
01:06That San Francisco Giants lineup isn't really a good hitting lineup,
01:09but let's just be honest.
01:10A left-handed pitcher that can get strike hits against the Phillies,
01:13checkmate San Francisco.
01:15Tywon Walker versus anybody.
01:16Checkmate anybody versus Tywon Walker.
01:19That's the way I see it.
01:20I don't know if I want to lay the price, but to be honest,
01:22I just don't think runs are coming from the Phillies' side,
01:25unless we're getting a 7-2 finish, which gives you the over,
01:28because San Francisco hammered Tywon Walker.
01:31I love the under.
01:32It was floating around eight at multiple books today.
01:34You see the seven and a half.
01:35If you can get eight, which means nine it takes to beat you,
01:38that ain't happening.
01:39That's not happening tonight.

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