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Cubs Host Cardinals at Wrigley: Key Stats & Game Analysis
SportsGrid
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7/6/2025
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Sports
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00:00
Let's head out there. Eric Fetty's on the mound versus Matthew Boyd, the left-handed pitcher.
00:04
The wind is blowing in today at Wrigley. This is a 6-10 start tonight. 9.55, 9.56 on the rotation.
00:10
A heavy favorite for those Cubbies, Tom, at a minus 200 price and plus, or even up to a minus 220
00:16
at some outlets. The total open up at 7.5, sits at 7.5 today. Fetty versus Boyd. What are we
00:21
looking at today from you? We got a touch of weather that could be an issue leading up to
00:27
game time. So they may be a delay, but they should be good to go for the rest of the game.
00:30
As you said, about 10, 15-mile-per-win blowing in. Eric Fetty, Donnie, a pitcher that we don't
00:36
like, we don't think is going to be 14.2% strikeout rate. The league average strikeout rate this
00:42
year sits about 21, 22%. So he is significantly lower than the league average. He's at a 10.3%
00:47
walk rate. Okay, that's terrible. You're letting runners on base for free, and then when push
00:52
comes to shove, you can't get yourself out of trouble and just punch the hitters out of the
00:55
plate because you don't have a high strikeout rate. His XFIP is sitting at 518 now. Granted,
00:59
he doesn't give up a ton of home runs. It's at 0.97, which ultimately is pretty good. He gets
01:04
what I like to call Babbitt to death, which is batting average of balls on play. Single,
01:08
double walk, single, double walk, which I think could come into play against this Cubs lineup.
01:13
Even though they're known for their power in the home runs, as we've seen over the past few days,
01:16
if there's wind blowing in, we just need singles and doubles to get some runs across.
01:19
So when we're looking at the Cubs lineup, Michael Bush, Kyle Tucker, PCA, Suzuki,
01:26
if Rich McGuire's man, Ian Hatt, Carson Kelly, Nico Horner, Dansby Swanson, you name it,
01:30
we have the options that we want to score some runs. Now, Matt Boyd on the other side has been
01:34
pretty darn solid this season, kind of a reclamation project after his years in Detroit. I like him
01:40
overall, a lower strikeout rate pitcher, but he also does not allow walks and can induce a lot of
01:45
ground balls and medium contact to kind of take the power away from the Cardinals' bats.
01:50
So give me the Cubs, and surprisingly, give me some runs tonight.
Recommended
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