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  • 6/23/2025
Transcript
00:00but today under the arch Donnie's favorite MLB pitcher the big lib Matthew Libertor gets the
00:06start for St. Louis on the other side for the Cubs it's Ben Brown right Ben Brown for Chicago
00:12that's their starter yeah just making sure of that nearly a pick'em price tonight DRS in
00:17the loo minus 110 for the Cardinals now the updated numbers on FanDuel minus 106 on the
00:23other side total still stands at nine how does this series in St. Louis start on a Monday evening
00:30yeah yesterday afternoon temperatures they're soaring into the 90s this game's estimated
00:34they're going to start at 745 and how about still 90 degrees at first pitch for this one so you love
00:38to see that hitting environment eight to nine mile an hour winds blowing out to left heel that's
00:41fantastic stuff take a look at these two pitchers here because it is interesting if we have 17
00:45pitchers on the card today with a minimum of five innings pitch over the last 30 days
00:49XFIP wise Ben Brown's at 3.84 which isn't terrible his ERA though 5.79 you take a look at Matthew
00:56Libertor 6.33 ERA which again is very elevated 4.23 XFIP number which is lower so
01:03namely these pitchers getting just a little bit unlucky so far on the season the one issue with
01:07Ben Brown over the past 30 days he can't get out left-handed batters through the tune of a 357
01:12weighted on base percentage and a 188 ISO power number lefties in the lineup tonight that could
01:16do damage Brendan Donovan he's got a 322 weighted on base percentage going up against right-handed
01:21pitching over the past month Alec Burleson a 368 weighted on base percentage and then Nolan Gorman
01:26be the best hitter in the lineup right now based on his last 30 day statistics versus right-handed
01:30pitchers he's a 262 ISO power number and a 430 weighted on base percentage if we flip it over to
01:36the other side again take a look at Libertor difference here is he's been very good against
01:40left-handed batters because he is a left-handed pitcher but also understand this you take a look
01:45at the right side here they've been pounding him here a 242 ISO power number and a weighted on base
01:50percentage of 389 against if you're just looking to say these two pitchers with high ERAs and I'm just
01:56going to take that hitting environment we probably should be getting a total in this one we really
01:59should
02:00should
02:00should

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