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Rookie of the Year Odds Update: Cooper Flagg Leads
SportsGrid
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00:00
the rookie of the year odds came out uh almost uh immediate actually i think the first round maybe
00:04
was still going on we were talking about it live on air at that time i believe cooper flag was minus
00:08
170 i'm sorry i didn't i don't know if i had odds i don't think you did no but i i believe when it
00:13
came out it what their the odds are now updated since wednesday night but i believe at the time
00:18
cooper flag was minus 170 well minus 190 now bailey and trey johnson are plus 850 apiece
00:24
we then get 12 to 1 on dylan harper and then the board starts to fall a little bit further with
00:30
vj edgecombe derrick queen jeremiah fears knipple and yegor demon getting a little bit of love
00:36
uh from the odds makers you're a guy that fans must be flooding the market right now people are trying
00:43
to combat me with their yegor demon bets um that is an atrocious bet cosper yacuchona says way better
00:49
of a chance no i was gonna say him than yegor demon um how do i want to frame this betting a
00:58
defensive player of the year next year right assuming you're not betting wendy is gonna feel
01:04
like maybe he gets hurt it's the judge thing right maybe but is cooper flag that level for you
01:13
we'll start with you coach in this market where hey cooper flag played 72 games does that mean to
01:22
you he won rookie of the year honestly i'm gonna say there's a chance he may not okay and and to me
01:28
this all goes down to what happens in utah and how quickly do they move off the contracts because to me
01:36
for every person they move whether it's marketing definitely marketing or college because they play the
01:42
same position right small forward power forward and for every guy they move i think you could slice
01:47
ace bailey's number by a dollar because it's going to be that two or three more shot attempts for ace
01:53
i think that's the interesting thing and i think the same thing happens honestly really quick with
01:59
trey johnson you don't realize folks washington has a top 10 protected pick in next year's draft if
02:05
they go 11 to 30 it goes to the knicks they also have over 100 million dollars coming off on the cap
02:10
between mccollum middleton smart and kelly olenek at what point do they throw the towel in and trade all
02:19
these guys off and give someone like trey johnson the minute and shot attempts because if you look
02:26
carefully at dallas could cooper flag get you i'm gonna say a max
02:33
15 points a game because there's ad there's clay there's lot threats and and and gafford and other
02:43
guys like that like he's not going to be asked to say like here here's the ball you got to go get me
02:48
20 a night the minute that danny clears that roster ace bailey's getting 20 shots a night so
02:56
he may put up better numbers which i think presents value for either ace or trey the difference the
03:04
problem is that you have to jump on it now before the trades happen tom because that's the trades
03:09
happen for either team those odds are gonna get shorter and shorter so i look at this from multiple
03:13
different ways number one the line is there for a cooper flag because the books are trying to
03:18
protect themselves they're never gonna hang a big number on it number two uh cooper flag to score 40
03:23
plus points at plus 300 is a far better bet and if he's gonna be putting up performances like that
03:27
he's probably on his way to winning a rookie year not saying a single game of 40 points is going to
03:32
solidify it but i would equate this to when conor berdard in the nhl won rookie of the year it's there
03:39
were there was a conversation we had that the example is that luke hughes and or brock faber were
03:44
more uh worthy of that award because of some of their underlying numbers which were better but
03:50
at a certain point they're like again if you played 72 games is he he's just going to win the award kind
03:54
of thing and that was the feeling i had for bedard and it's he's the same type of prospect he is like
03:59
a generational prospect that was guaranteed to go number one and if he just plays enough games we can
04:04
make the argument that ace bailey did more scores more does this more but the voters are they just
04:09
gonna end up giving it to cooper flag i don't think they'll just give it to him but as long as his
04:15
numbers are good enough he will win it but i think what my thing is the tone of that suggests that
04:21
cooper might win it even if he's not most deserving i i don't think that is going to be i think there's i
04:27
think there's a path to it being a possibility not it's a guarantee but it's a possibility i think it is
04:33
unlikely well here's why i guess i think i will be surprised if he is not most deserving of this
04:39
award i'm not saying that can't happen either i'm saying but the for cooper flag the reality is he's
04:47
the best player in this class and is going to seemingly the best year one situation where
04:57
ace in utah is going to be bad trey's going to be weirdly fighting for minutes in washington
05:02
more than you would think and they're going to be bad harper's going to have to do this split
05:07
backcourt thing with the aaron fox like i'd listen to a fierce starting in new orleans for
05:13
dejontha murray case but hoop is starting and the best player on maybe the best team
05:18
is going to have to do this is going to be one of the best players that have to do this for yes it is
05:36
is going to be one of the best players that have to be in the world you want to do this for you and
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