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  • 6/9/2025
Transcript
00:00Minus 116 for St. Louis, minus 102 now on the other side for Toronto.
00:05So an updated flip of what those pick'em prices are.
00:09What do you like today out in St. Louis?
00:11Yeah, Barrios has been average over the past 30 days here.
00:1329 and a third innings pitched here in ERA at 3.38, which will take.
00:17And a slightly higher XFIP of 4.06.
00:19But the question mark is going to be here.
00:20Andre Palante on the mound.
00:2230 innings pitched over the past month.
00:23How about an ERA that's north of 5?
00:25But his XFIP number is lower than that at 3.34.
00:28The reason being, he's a decent strikeout guy.
00:31Doesn't hand out a lot of free passes.
00:32But also, he's an elite ground ball pitcher.
00:35Over the past 30 days, 60% of the players that put the ball in play, that ball's on the ground.
00:39Limits the opportunities for extra base hits, which includes home runs.
00:42But he's on a collision course here with a team in the Toronto Blue Jays that has been really effective at hitting right-handed pitchers over the past month.
00:49You take a look at the lineup here.
00:51Weighted on base percentages here of the first eight guys in the lineup.
00:54If we take out Jonathan Classe, who's due to bat ninth today.
00:58You take a look at Jimenez, Clement, Lukes, Springer, Kirk, Barger, Guerrero, and Bichette.
01:04Every single one of those batters, at least a 3.17 or higher, with a weighted on base percentage.
01:08Which includes some numbers like Bichette at 3.74.
01:11Barger at 4.16.
01:12Kirk at 3.86.
01:14Springer at 3.48.
01:15And Jimenez, even though it's only eight at-bats, a 4.67 weighted on base percentage.
01:20Every one of those guys outside of two, which means seven plus batters with limited strikeouts.
01:24And a lot of really good walk rates here.
01:26So this will be interesting for a team that likes to take pitches and Palante doesn't walk a lot of people.
01:31That means we might be looking for a lot of baseballs in play.
01:34And also the key being in St. Louis, 75 degrees at the first pitch.
01:38And you take a look at a 10-mile-an-hour wind blowing out to right field here.
01:41I like the lineup today for the Toronto Blue Jays.
01:44I'd be looking for them, A, on RBI props, and B, on a possible team total today.

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