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  • 5/25/2025
Transcript
00:00Let's try to outline some players that if we can get them now,
00:02the next 112 games are going to really be,
00:07they're going to pay off for us, Joe.
00:08Who's first on the list?
00:10Yeah, we got to start with Brian Reynolds,
00:11who's just puzzling at this point.
00:14A guy who is so solid, right?
00:17You're talking back-to-back years, 2023, 2024.
00:2024 homers in both seasons.
00:2284 RBI in one, 88 in the other.
00:24He's going to steal about 10 to 12 bases.
00:26He's going to hit between 265, 275.
00:28I mean, you could set the watch to him.
00:32He's been so good.
00:33Something has happened here with Brian Reynolds.
00:35I don't know what's going on, but it has not been good.
00:37I don't know if it's personal stuff.
00:39I don't know if it's just sometimes you struggle
00:41and then it just manifests itself.
00:43But if you look at the Savant page, it's far better.
00:47So there's encouraging signs here,
00:49but the first 50 games were very discouraging.
00:51Just six home runs, three stolen bases,
00:53hitting 203 over that span.
00:55Now, he does have 24 RBI in 18 runs,
00:57and so I think there's reason for at least some sort of expectation.
01:01The good news is, despite hitting 212 as of recording this today,
01:06his expected batting average is at 260.
01:08The expected slugging, which is at 335 right now,
01:11the expected slugging is at 491.
01:14So a lot of this has been bad luck.
01:16The barrel percentage is really good when you look at him.
01:18The chase rate's still okay.
01:20The hard hit rate is above average.
01:22So I just think it's a matter of he's in a bad slump
01:24and sometimes just kind of spirals out of control in itself.
01:28Baseball is a very tough game.
01:30It's a tough mental game too.
01:31And it's just not a lot of good lineup protection either
01:33to help Brian Reynolds snap out of the spunk.
01:35But I think eventually he will.
01:36And I think he is one of the best buys you can make
01:39because you know the rest of season you get a 260 hitter
01:42who's probably got another, what, like, you know,
01:4515 home runs in him and probably another five, six stolen bases.
01:49And I think that at least, if not seven or eight,
01:52I think this is still a player you want to buy in on.
01:54And I think a good second half, especially in points leagues,
01:56would be a target here in the outfield.

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