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00:00the american league mvp as of this moment is clearly aaron judge uh but you've said this
00:06the sustainability of what he's doing is improbable but even if he tapers off even if he
00:11regresses back to to whatever the mean may be i think he's already still done enough to stay
00:17in the public eye and stay in the writer's eye right it's still a media award american league
00:22mvp is it judges straight away where's value well it is uh we even had the conversation how long
00:28could he miss time for and still be the leader in minus money and i think a month like i i think he
00:35could miss a month and i don't think any of the guys are catching up to him uh the guys are closest
00:39on this board bobby witta plus 1500 alex bregman he's already hurt so he could take that off the
00:43board so he's gonna miss time uh gunner henderson has done nothing and the orioles are irrelevant so
00:49strike him the interesting guy so far to me is jose ramirez because every year annually he is
00:56overlooked for this award and every year he is a one-man band there and and this year maybe more
01:02than any other because josh nailer is gone and he is somehow just getting it done i know stephen
01:07quan is a nice player but he has really very little around him in that lineup and the guardians are
01:11hanging around the standings and they're going to be relevant and they're going to get shane beaver
01:14back eventually so jose ramirez a plus 9 000 is intriguing to me if you're just looking for
01:19something else to bet here because i think you can at least make the the case potentially that at some
01:25point that number shrinks significantly jose ramirez is a 40 40 kind of talent and there is a script you
01:31could write where aaron judge regresses a little bit and you know stops leading the league in
01:34everything as he has been which has been spectacular if he slumps or if there's an injury and he's had
01:39some injury issues in the past let's not pretend like you know aaron judge is you know without any
01:44sort of foot problems or other issues that he's had in his career and then there's also the question of
01:49you know in big moments what aaron judge has and hasn't done and if the yankees should find
01:55themselves in a pennant race somehow and for this division at the end of the year and he falls short
02:00that's going to be a big negative hit on aaron judge with all the stats because it's the inverse
02:04right it's a media award and as great as the media is that they want to applaud you when you're doing
02:10great they also want to kill you when you're doing poorly or not showing up in big spots especially in
02:15new york that's the only narrative you could write for somebody else to win this award i don't think
02:19it's a best-selling narrative that i want to sell out there but i will say it's aaron judges to lose
02:26and it's really difficult to see anybody else winning this award so if you didn't bet
02:29at pre-season the value is probably gone