Skip to playerSkip to main contentSkip to footer
  • 5/23/2025
Transcript
00:00The most popular bet at ESPN bet, Keefe.
00:03Tell me if you feel good or bad about this.
00:05What sport?
00:05Football.
00:06Most popular bet is...
00:07So since the NFL schedule was released,
00:10the most popular bet on ESPN bet is Patriots over 8.5 wins.
00:15Wow.
00:16I think that's a bad sign.
00:18The whole public is saying...
00:20Buy an opportunity or a sucker's bet.
00:21No, that means it's a sucker.
00:23If the whole public's on it, it's a sucker's bet.
00:24Yeah, but 8.5...
00:25No, that's true.
00:26That's like the definition of a sucker's bet.
00:28Unless we all win.
00:28Unless we all win.
00:30The number two bet, by the way, is Saints under 5.5.
00:33So that's another one to avoid.
00:34Stay away from the Saints.
00:36That's scary.
00:36The whole public's on the pats over 8.5.
00:38I knew we all were here in New England.
00:40So I guess...
00:40I don't like that.
00:41No.
00:42But again, we did the whole schedule thing,
00:45and you and I weren't just giving away wins,
00:48but based on the schedule, I had them at 10, you had them at 9.
00:52So before this even came out, we both just organically had the over.
00:56Yep.
00:56They're favored in 11 of them.
00:58Now, things change.
00:59Guys get hurt or whatever, but that works for both sides.
01:01So when they do the exercise, and you could argue whether, like,
01:04do you really need lines in May for every game in the season?
01:08But either way, you play that scenario out.
01:10They're the favorite in 11 of 17.
01:13So it's not like it's 10.5, and everyone's like,
01:16they're going to win every game they're favored in.
01:17Right.
01:17You have some margin for error.
01:18I have, like, so nine wins.
01:20You can lose two games that you're favored in and still hit the over.
01:22I'm with you.
01:23It's a little concerning.
01:25Everybody's on one thing.
01:27Betting with the public is how to lose.
01:28That's how I lose.
01:29But I still look at it and say,
01:31I have a hard time getting them to eight and nine or worse,
01:37which is what it would have to be.
01:39But you're right.
01:40There are a lot of people.
01:40Everybody's throwing out their win losses now,
01:42and almost everybody is over, right?
01:46I've not seen many.
01:48I haven't seen many others.
01:48Mostly 9, 10, and then there's a couple, like, goofy ones in the teens.
01:51But it's, like, 9, 10.
01:52I think a lot of people.
01:54Curran was on with us earlier.
01:55He has them at 10 as well.
01:57The schedule stinks.
01:58The schedule's really bad.
01:59It's a bad schedule.
02:00So maybe we're basing too much off of that.

Recommended