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Mets Face D-Backs at Home: Betting Odds & Analysis
SportsGrid
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4/29/2025
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Sports
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00:00
New York this will be their first series of two against the D-backs in their next three sets a
00:06
road weekend in St. Louis before heading out to the desert this week though the New York Mets at
00:12
home minus 142 as they welcome in the D-backs to flushing total at eight and a half what do you
00:18
like today between the Diamondbacks and the Amazons yeah you probably would figure that
00:22
New York should be the favorite here but take a look at the pitching matchup here as we go
00:26
because Eduardo Rodriguez for Arizona will be on the mound 28 and two-thirds innings pitched this
00:30
season Ben the ERA a little bit high 4.40 but the analytical numbers like the expected ERA 2.86
00:36
the expert number elite at 2.84 which means he's getting just a little bit unlucky you look at that
00:41
lineup today as it probably will present itself going up against left-handed pitching this year
00:45
hasn't been all that great Lindor has struggled you know Juan Soto does have a high weighted on
00:49
base percentage but not a lot of iso power numbers Alonzo Nimmo and Acuna here in the lineup have
00:54
higher iso power numbers everybody else a little bit less so maybe the better pitcher on the mound
00:59
could be for Arizona even though he said that David Peterson has been great this season you look at the
01:03
iso power number against 103 weighted on base percentage average at 3.22 lefty on lefty he's
01:08
been tremendous here righties hasn't given up a lot of power but a little bit slightly high
01:12
weighted on base percentage but look at his season so far 27 in the third innings pitched a 3.29 ERA
01:18
coupled with a 2.88 XFIP number here's the temperatures in New York today close to 70 degrees
01:24
how about double digits blowing up to dead center field it's a shame that we have two pitchers with
01:28
low XFIP numbers because that's a perfect recipe with these two ball clubs as hot as they are at
01:33
the plate to do some damage I just don't know if I can get there so for me if I think it's more of a
01:38
coin flip probably leaning towards the underdogs in the Diamondbacks today but not a clear path to
01:42
who I love at the plate
01:43
who I love at the plate
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1:38
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