Merrill Kelly Starts as Yankees Start Carrasco: Game Preview

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00:00Merrill Kelly gets to start today against Cookie Carrasco and the Yankees.

00:04New York booked as a minus money home favorite, minus 120.

00:09Total stands at nine and a half.

00:11Pretty lofty total for early April up in the tri-state.

00:15It should be, by the way.

00:1670 degrees expected around first pitch tonight here,

00:19wind blowing out double digits to left field.

00:21So we have all of that environment that we love at Yankee Stadium,

00:23that when the weather is nice and the wind's blowing out there,

00:26it turns into a little bit of a band box.

00:27So having said that,

00:28you look at Merrill Kelly, first start of the season, pretty good.

00:31His ERA, 1.69, ISO power number, weighted on base percentage,

00:34through 23 batters he's faced, very good.

00:37But again, it's just one start on the season.

00:39You flip it over to the other side and you take a look at Carrasco,

00:41not a lot to love about his first start,

00:43because if you just break it down in simplicity,

00:45a 13.5 ERA tells the tale.

00:48Only 11 batters faced, they've hammered him,

00:50ISO, weighted on base percentages, all high there.

00:53But also understand this, we're now getting to the point

00:55where at least we have 10 at-bats or more

00:57against, let's just say, lefty or righty splits here.

01:00You look at the Arizona Diamondbacks entering into this game,

01:03the estimated lineup, at least the top seven,

01:05going up against right-handed pitching this year,

01:07weighted on base percentages as followed.

01:08481, 376, 515, 369, 760, 564, 472.

01:15Small sample size, really good numbers.

01:17Struggling pitcher in his first start, maybe that bodes well.

01:20Now you take a look at the New York Yankees lineup here for you, Ben.

01:22Same thing, Merrill Kelly, though, strong start to the season in his one start,

01:26but weighted on base percentages here for the Yankees.

01:28If you start with Aaron Judge, 406, 467, 489, 435, 554, 858.

01:34In limited at-bats of around 10 at-bats or less on the season

01:37against right-handed pitching.

01:38Just makes sense.

01:39I like the under yesterday in the Bronx.

01:41Today, complete opposite.

01:42I like the over.

01:43The pitching matchups, decent.

01:45Hitting weather, should be there.

01:46Ball should travel.

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