Category
🥇
SportsTranscript
00:009.59, 9.60 on the rotation, a 3.10 start out in Colorado.
00:04Good temperatures here, light wind blowing in.
00:06We should get some hitting.
00:07Tyler McGill's on the mound going against Chase Dollender.
00:10That lineup here, look at that spread.
00:132.55 overnight, Tom.
00:14You ain't even getting that discount anymore.
00:16It's minus 2.85 and higher at some outlets,
00:19and a total of 10.5 across the board.
00:22Runs are going to come today, and primarily looks like it's from the Mets.
00:26Yeah, it's always from the Mets.
00:27Yes, even with the fractured toe for Francisco Lindor,
00:32he was back out there yesterday.
00:34He looks good.
00:35Dollender has been struggling since he got called up.
00:37You know, we talked about his first MLB start when we were on his strikeout
00:41proper, at least I was.
00:42He hasn't been good.
00:44Part of it's due to Coors Field.
00:45Part of it's just the struggles overall.
00:47But, man, you give me this Mets lineup in a spot to score.
00:51Alonzo, even Brett Beatty, since beginning of May, 277 ISO.
00:55We can look at him.
00:56Obviously, Soto, we know we can throw.
00:57I mean, Brandon Nimmo had a couple hits last night in RBI.
00:59McNeil, Lindor.
01:00There's no wrong way to go about approaching the Mets.
01:02If you want to take, I would assume you need four of them for an HRR market.
01:05I know those aren't up yet on Fandle, but there's no way.
01:08It's only three when they're at Coors in this spot.
01:10They're going to be minus 700 for one HRR.
01:12And then McGill on the other side, awesome.
01:1530.4% strikeout rate.
01:16The 10.8% walk rate is a little bit concerning.
01:19So, if you are looking on the other side, I wouldn't mind going to a Hunter Goodman.
01:23You could throw in a Ryan McMahon.
01:24Tovar's now back on the eye up with their young player, Jordan, back at the top of the lineup.
01:29I got some interest in him.
01:31Yeah, he's not too bad.
01:32And by the way, you take a look at Dollinger, too, because you hit the nail on the head.
01:36You pitch at Coors, you're always going to get that sort of, you know what, like a bell curve.
01:40You got to grade the guy on.
01:41Because if you look at the season as the way it's going on, his first start was on the 6th against the Athletics.
01:46That was at home.
01:47He got bombed in that game.
01:48The next home start he had was against Washington.
01:51He got bombed in that game.
01:52The next home start, he actually was very good against Atlanta.
01:55Five and two-thirds innings pitch and one earned run.
01:57The next start at home against Detroit, absolutely bombed.
02:00His last three starts, which, again, were the 12th, the 18th, then a couple weeks delay until the 3rd of the month here in June.
02:07They were all road starts.
02:08So his last three were on the road, he's back in Colorado where he hasn't fared all that well.
02:12And you look at that Mets lineup as a whole, you look and say, my goodness, going up against right-handed pitching over the past month here, decent weather conditions.
02:19Lindor, high ISO power number.
02:21Nimmo, high ISO power number.
02:22Soto, Alonzo, McNeil, Beatty, and Young, all elevated numbers and not huge K rates as opposed to the final two or three batters in the lineup anticipated today.
02:31So I look at this, but you're right, Tom.
02:32It's easy to say, yes, I like a lot of guys for the Mets to get RBI.
02:36It's easy to say, I like a team total, but you're not getting price points as they are at City Field.
02:40You're in Colorado.
02:42So it's like, hey, I need a touchdown to cover the team total.
02:44And if I take it, I'll be like, great, Juan Soto got it.
02:47Plus 100 at best that you might get at this point right now.
02:50So it is tough to grade the Mets.
02:52But today, I do think the Mets hit.
02:53I really do, Tom.
02:55Yeah, and this is what we always talk about.
02:57It's like sometimes there are spots that we absolutely love, but there's not always an effective way to bet them.
03:02Even laying the minus one and a half for the Mets on the run line is minus 176, and I don't want to do that.
03:08So you've got to find creative ways to go about it, and it's probably in the prop market.