MLB Monday Best Bets: Standout Performances, Predictions

SportsGrid

Watch MLB Monday Best Bets: Standout Performances, Predictions - SportsGrid on Dailymotion

Transcript

00:00It ain't game slate around Major League Baseball on this Monday following another weekend in the

00:06big DRS that saw a lot best team in the American League right now the Detroit Tigers best team in

00:13the National League the New York best team in the National League West the San Francisco Giants the

00:19Padres swept at home in lovely San Diego by the Tampa Bay Rays over a three-game set this week

00:27in Southern California a lot to get you caught up on around the bigs a lot to look at entering a new

00:33week on this Monday let's start but in a divisional duel in Baltimore between the Yankees and the

00:41Orioles the Yankees making a change by the way in the back end of their bullpen Devin Williams who

00:47has been the closer now in his opening year in the Bronx kind of demoted from that role it's been a

00:53little bit tumultuous you know it's been incredibly tumultuous the Baltimore Orioles season DRS 10 and

01:0017 in the cellar worst record of the AL West second worst record in the American League only better

01:07than the Chicago White Sox a game today against the Yankees where New York with Will Warren on the bump

01:14and ever so slight favorite what are we expecting today on this Monday inside Camden Yards they

01:20probably should be the slight favorite even though you take a look at Will Warren who I don't love as

01:24a pitcher and you say well hey Sugano should be able to you know flare things up actually Sugano

01:28was the worst pitcher on the card today through 16 pitchers with his XFIP number at 4.79 which is not

01:33over five which you love and that's a great fade point but if we're just looking at the way he gets

01:37down for his business 28 innings pitch Ben a 3.54 ERA which is good but then you take a look at the

01:43expected ERA almost double that at 6.11 his fifth number 5.84 but a slightly lower XFIP of 4.79 you

01:51take a look at the lineup today for the New York Yankees who again top three batters in the lineup

01:55that we anticipate Grisham Judge and Rice lefty righty lefty going up against Sugano and against

02:01right-handed pitcher for them pitching excuse me a 481 ISO a 208 and a 327 maybe that's where the

02:07damage comes from but if we are looking for the Baltimore batters they've had some success this year

02:11against right-handed pitchers Will Warren last year struggled with both lefty and righty batters

02:15this year having a little bit better year if you take a look at his XFIP number it's 3.69 much lower

02:21than his ERA at 4.79 so getting a little bit unlucky with the ERA maybe they bounce back tonight the

02:26lineup looks better for Baltimore but I do think you still have the pitching advantage with the

02:31Yankees and the better overall team I'll take the Yankees at a slight favorite price here at

02:35Baltimore at Camden Yards by the way 70 degree temperatures wind blowing out to left we do like to see that

02:40yeah the O's were blanked yesterday by Detroit 7-zip Baltimore swept this weekend I am pretty sure

02:48in Detroit the Orioles are struggling 10 and 17 DRS as we have alluded to five and six at home

02:56of course those east coast teams or at least along the eastern seaboard playing most of their opening

03:02games away from their home ballpark 16 games for Baltimore on the road 11 at home the Yankees

03:09rained out in the Bronx on Saturday played a doubleheader yesterday against the Blue Jays they

03:14won both to win the weekend we mentioned the Tigers Detroit best record right now in the AL 18 and 10

03:23the Tigers on the road to start off this week against the Astros today in DRS the Astros avoided a sweep

03:30yesterday against the Kansas City Royals the Royals still a game below 500 but getting a couple of big

03:36wins against the Astros this weekend Houston an ever so slight favorite on the money line Ron Elblanco

03:43gets the start minus 110 now for the Astros we have seen a slight line flip Jack Flaherty the start

03:50for Detroit minus 106 total eight today in H-Town what do you like yeah Flaherty's been fantastic this

03:56season again yet Scooble yesterday was absolutely pitching a gem and outside those first starts two

04:01starts of the season for him he's been just like his Cy Young self you take a look at Flaherty 27 and a

04:06third innings pitch this year how about an ERA Ben 2.63 and an X with 3.09 should be able to factor

04:12in now Ronell Blanco last year was a very good pitcher this year is struggling with lefties and

04:17by the way if you take a look at his numbers through 23 and a third innings pitch this year

04:20a 5 ERA and a 4.73 XF number so the better pitcher resides for the Tigers today at that price if

04:27you're looking for some batter props to start Kerry Carpenter 64 it bats as a left-handed batter

04:32against right-handed pitching this year a 200 ISO and a weighted on base percentage of 369 and then

04:37Riley Green another lefty having some good results and then Spencer Torkelson having a great season

04:41with a 269 ISO against right-handed pitching for me again I take a look at the road team here whether

04:46it's a slight favorite or not let's call it a pick-em I like Detroit better pitcher on the mound and a team

04:50that should be able to handle their business and the Tigers the hottest team right now in the American

04:55League they have won four straight eight of their last 10 again Detroit the best record in the AL

05:00right now at 18 and 10 let's not forget DRS they were swept in their opening series of this MLB season

05:06by the LA Dodgers 18 and 7 in their last 25 Houston a game above 500 at 14 and 13 avoiding the sweep

05:15yesterday in Kaufman against the Kansas City Royals there is no team worse right now in MLB than the

05:22Colorado Rockies 4 in 23 they are two and a half games worse DRS than even the Chicago White Sox who

05:30are 7 and 21 the Rocks are 4 in 23 they're at home today against the Braves who have won seven of their

05:39last nine and nearly swept the Diamondbacks this weekend Arizona did rally to avoid the sweep yesterday

05:45in the third game of that weekend set but Atlanta minus 176 favorite today inside Coors Field

05:51it's a Coors Field total in double digits at 10 and a half what's the play between the Braves and the

05:57Rockies yeah yesterday for the Colorado Rockies we had 80 degree temperatures and a double digit

06:02wind blowing out to center field cooler temperatures in the Rockies today 60 degrees or so with the

06:06wind blowing in from center field at about 8 to 10 miles per hour so we'll see if that catches up to

06:11that 10 and a half because you could still score a lot of runs even if the weather conditions

06:14aren't all that great in Colorado you take a look at Bryce Elder on the season hasn't been that great

06:1921 innings pitched here 5.57 ERA and a 4.51 x fifth number you take a look at the lineup though very

06:25underwhelming for the Colorado Rockies now we take a look at the Atlanta Braves they've woken up at the

06:29plate you take a look at Alex Verdugo on the leadoff spot doesn't really factor in that much against

06:33right-handed pitching but after that plus numbers on Riley Ozuna Olsen Murphy Albies and Eli White going up

06:39against Feltner if you take a look at Feltner season 25 and two-thirds innings pitch a decent ERA

06:44of 3.86 a slightly higher xfip of 4.28 those numbers do make sense and also keep in mind

06:50Feltner's got hammered a bit by left-handed bats in this lineup and if you're looking for one right

06:54in the middle of that lineup it's probably going to be Matt Olsen for a legitimate RBI chance there

06:58out in Colorado but it's hard at any price to back the Rockies home or away the Rockies swept by my

07:06Cincinnati Reds this weekend the Reds winning all three since you're playing a lot better

07:1015 and 13 Colorado is atrocious again the Braves have won seven of their last nine

07:16but still 12 and 15. Major League Baseball on the card tonight you take a look at the

07:21Twins heading over to take on the Guardians any action in this game for you tonight Tom?

07:26Yeah let's keep it really simple and that's the Guardians money line coming off a couple losses

07:30I think they're a good team I think they're going to spot the bounce back I'm not afraid of the

07:34Twins I'm not afraid of Bailey Ober he comes in with a 504 ERA and Donnie as we know we always like

07:39to use that in comparison to the XFIP his XFIP is at 418 and 418 is like a pretty average number like

07:45average to bad we have beautiful weather out in Cleveland today a little bit of wind he has a

07:4946 percent fly ball rate he's allowing 1.80 home runs per nine when we're getting a good team with

07:54the Guardians at minus 120 or minus 122 I think that's great we do have to note as we touched on

07:59the show yesterday Klasse not the closer anymore so there is a difference between taking the

08:04Guardians as they were and expecting oh Klasse is going to come in shut everyone down no one's

08:08going to touch the ball that role has changed so their bullpen is factually weaker but I still like

08:13the Guardians to get the offense going against Bailey Ober 20 percent striker rate I'm not afraid of him

08:17I'm not afraid of him but I'm not afraid of him but I'm afraid of him but I have to end up the

08:31scenes like this this one I were trying to kill lately so he's an interesting person for his

08:32time to get the events I wanted to get into the series of different videos and also we're trying to

08:35get the ones I wanted to show you about the events I was going to show you about the events of

08:38the events I was going to show you about the events I had for a matter of since you were

Category

Transcript

Recommended